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1 H.R. 4296, a Bill to Place Requirements on Operational Risk Capital Requirements for Banking Organizations Established by an Appropriate Federal Banking Agency 1 (February 21, 2018)

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                  CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE
                              COST   ESTIMATE

                                                              February 21, 2018



                                  H.R.  4296
   A  bill to place requirements  on operational  risk capital requirements
                  for banking  organizations   established by
                  an  appropriate  Federal  banking   agency

          As ordered reported by the House Committee on Financial Services
                              on November 15, 2017


SUMMARY

H.R. 4296 would direct federal banking regulators to revise one of the formulas used to
calculate the minimum amount of capital held by certain large, systemically important
banks. Specifically, the bill would change the method banks use to estimate operating
risk-the risk of losses stemming from inadequate or failed internal controls, fraud or
errors caused by people and systems, or external events such as cyberattacks. Regulators
currently require banks to estimate operating risk based in part on historical experience.
Under the bill, such risk would be calculated largely on the basis of forward-looking
models that reflect each bank's business activities.

CBO  estimates that enacting H.R. 4296 would increase the deficit by $22 million over the
2018-2027 period. That figure includes an increase of $26 million in direct spending and
an increase of $4 million in revenues. Because enacting the bill would affect direct
spending and revenues, pay-as-you-go procedures apply.

CBO  estimates that enacting H.R. 4296 would not increase net direct spending or on-
budget deficits by more than $2.5 billion in one or more of the four consecutive 10-year
periods beginning in 2028.

H.R. 4296 contains no intergovernmental or private-sector mandates as defined in the
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA).


ESTIMATED COST TO THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

The estimated budgetary effect of H.R. 4296 is shown in the following table. The costs of
the legislation fall within budget function 370 (advancement of commerce).

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