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1 Reconciliation Recommendations of the Senate Committee on Finance as Ordered Reported by the Senate Committee on Finance on November 16, 2017 1 (2017)

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                  CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE
                              COST ESTIMATE

                                                                November  26, 2017


  Reconciliation   Recommendations of the Senate Committee on Finance

    As ordered reported by the Senate Corrrittee on Finance on November 16, 2017


SUMMARY

The  Reconciliation Recommendations of the Senate Committee on Finance, the Tax Cuts
and jobs Act, would amend numerous provisions of U.S. tax law. Among other changes,
the bill would reduce most income tax rates for individuals and modify the tax brackets for
those taxpayers; increase the standard deduction and the child tax credit; and repeal
deductions for personal exemptions, certain itemized deductions, and the alternative
minimum   tax (A MT). Those changes would take effect on January 1, 2018, and would be
scheduled to expire after December 31, 2025. The bill also would permanently repeal the
penalties associated with the requirement that most people obtain health insurance
coverage (also known as the individual mandate).

The  legislation would permanently modify business taxation as well. Among other
provisions, beginning in 2019, it would replace the structure of corporate income tax rates,
which  has a top rate of 35 percent under current law, with a single 20 percent rate. The
legislation also would substantially alter the current system under which the worldwide
income  of U.S. corporations is subject to taxation.

The staff of the joint Committee on Taxation ( CT) estimates that enacting the legislation
would  reduce revenues by about $1,633 billion and decrease outlays by $219 billion over
the 2018-2027 period, leading to an increase in the deficit of $1,414 billion over the next
10 years. A portion of the changes in revenues would be from Social Security payroll taxes,
which are off-budget. Excluding the estimated $27 billion increase in off-budget revenues
over the next 10 years, JCT estimates that the legislation would increase on-budget deficits
by about $1,441 billion over the period from 2018 to 2027. Pay-as-you-go procedures
apply because enacting the legislation would affect direct spending and revenues.

J CT estimates that enacting the legislation would not increase on-budget deficits by more
than $5 billion in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2028.

Because of the magnitude of its estimated budgetary effects, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is
considered major legislation as defined in section 4107 of H. Con. Res. 71, the Concurrent
Resolution on the Budget for Fiscal Year 2018. It therefore triggers the requirement that

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