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1 H.R. 1010, to Provide That the Rule Entitled Short-Term, Limited Duration Insurance Shall Have No Force Or Effect 1 (April 25, 2019)

handle is hein.congrec/prvrlet0001 and id is 1 raw text is: 



Congressional Budget Office
Cost Estimate


April 25, 2019


Millions of Dollars                 2019             2019-2024            2O19o2029
Direct Spending (Outlays)             0                -3,211               -7Y753


Revenues


0

0


Deficit Effect


   409

-3,619


1,103

-8,856


H.R. 1010 would prevent the Administration from implementing or enforcing a recent
regulation aimed at increasing the number of people with short-term limited duration
insurance (short-term plans) and would prohibit the Administration from promulgating
similar regulations in the future.

CBO and JCT estimate that enacting the legislation would result in roughly 1.5 million fewer
people purchasing short-term plans each year over the 2020-2029 period. Of those, more
than 500,000 would instead purchase nongroup coverage through the marketplaces
established by the Affordable Care Act, a small number would obtain coverage through an
employer, and about 500,000 would become uninsured. The agencies expect that additional
enrollees in the nongroup market would have the effect of lowering nongroup premiums by
about 1 percent on average because those enrollees are likely to be healthier than the average
nongroup enrollee under current law.

On net, CBO and JCT estimate that enacting H.R. 1010 would decrease the deficit by
$8.9 billion over the 2019-2029 period primarily because premiums for subsidized nongroup
insurance would be lower. That amount includes a $7.8 billion reduction in direct spending
and a $1.1 billion increase in revenues.
H.R. 1010 would impose a private-sector mandate as defined in the Unfunded Mandates
Reform Act (UMRA) by restricting the terms under which insurers may offer short-term
plans. CBO estimates the cost of the mandate, which would include the revenue lost as a
result of the restriction, would exceed the private-sector threshold established by UMRA in

                See also CBO's Cost Estimates Explained, www cbo.gov/publicationi54437;
  How CBO Prepares Cost Estimates, www.cbo.gov/publication!53519; and Glossary, www.cbo~gov/publication/42904.

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