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1 1 (August 9, 2019)

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   Congressional Budget Office
'  Cost   Estimate


-y risca year, mans oT voiiars
Direct Spending (Outlays)


Revenues
Increase or Decrease (-)
in the Deficit


2019
   0


2019-2024
      *


0

0


August 9, 2019


2019-2029
      *


0


0


*


*


Under  its disaster loan program, the Small Business Administration (SBA)  provides direct
loans to people and small businesses, including those that suffered substantial economic
injury because essential employees  were ordered to active duty during a military conflict.
S. 3661 would  expand  the definition of active military service used to determine loan
eligibility to mean any period of service for at least 30 consecutive days including periods of
full-time training, attendance at military schools, and National Guard duty. Expanding the
definition of active military service also would increase eligibility for a program that allows
loan recipients to defer the repayment of principal and interest on disaster loans.

Using  information from the SBA   about the disaster loan program, CBO  estimates that
implementing  the bill would slightly increase the total amount of loans administered by the
SBA.  That increase would  increase the estimated subsidy cost of disaster loans by an
insignificant amount.' The total subsidy cost of the disaster loan program was $548 million
in 2018. Historically, less than 2 percent of disaster loans are made each year to small
businesses who  suffer economic  injury because of employees  being called into military
service.


1. The subsidy cost is the estimated long-term cost to the government, calculated on a net-present-value basis. Present
   value is a single number that expresses a flow of current and future income (or payments) in terms of an equivalent
   lump sum received (or paid) at a specific time. That value depends on the rate of interest (called the discount rate)
   used to translate future cash flows into current dollars.
                  See also CBO's Cost Estimates Explained, www.cbo.gov/publication/54437;
  How CBO Prepares Cost Estimates, www.cbo.gov/publication/53519; and Glossary, www.cbo.gov/publication/42904.

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