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1 Monthly Budget Review: January 2021 1 (February 8, 2021)

handle is hein.congrec/mybtrev0001 and id is 1 raw text is: 



Congressional Budget Office
  Nonparti|san Ano~ysis forthe US~ Congress


Monthly Budget Review:


January 2021


February  8  2021


The  federal budget deficit was $738 billion in the first four months of fiscal year 2021, the
Congressional  Budget  Office estimates-$348   billion more than the deficit recorded during the
same  period last year. Outlays were 23 percent higher and revenues were  1 percent higher from
October  through January  than during the same perod  in fiscal year 2020.

Outlays during  the first four months of fiscal year 2020 were boosted by shifts in the timing of
certain payments  that otherwise would have  been due at the beginning of February  2020, which
fell on a weekend. Those  shifts increased outlays through January 2020 by  $55 billion. If not for
those shifts, the deficit this year (through January 2021) would have been more than twice the
$335  billion shortfall during the same period in fiscal year 2020. That substantial difference is
largely the result of the economic disruption caused by the 2020-2021  coronavirus  pandemic  and
the federal government's  response to it.


Table 1.
Budget   Totals, October-January
Billions of Dollars
                                                                             Estimated Change
                                                                             With Adjustments for
                                                                          Timing Shifts in Outlaysa
                              Actual,      Preliminary,   Estimated      Billions of
                              FY 2020       FY 2021        Change         Dollars       Percent
 Receipts                     1,179         1,191            12             12              1
 Outlays                      1568          1928            360           415              27
 Deficit (-)                  -389           -738          -348           -403            120
 Data sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury Statement for December 2020 and the
 Daily Treasury Statements for January 2021.
 FY = fiscal year.
 a. Adjusted amounts exclude the effects of shifting payments that otherwise would have been made on a holiday or weekend. If not for those
   shifts, the budget would have shown a deficit of $335 billion from October 2019 through January 2020, CBO estimates.


The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash flow of the Postal Service, which
are off-budget. Numbers may not sum to totals because of rounding.


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