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1 H.R. 987, MORE Health Education Act 1 (April 25, 019)

handle is hein.congrec/mrhleda0001 and id is 1 raw text is: 



j   Congressional Budget Office
       Cost Estimate


April 25, 2019


Millions of Dollars                 2019             2019(-2024           20192029
Direct Spending (Outlays)             0                 3,645              11,797


Revenues


0

0


Deficit Effect


-451

4,097


-1,728

13,525


H.R. 987 would appropriate $100 million each year beginning in 2020 for the Centers for
Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) to expand advertising and outreach programs that
promote nongroup insurance coverage sold through the marketplaces established by the
Affordable Care Act. CBO and JCT estimate that spending for those purposes would
increase enrollment in nongroup insurance coverage and Medicaid by about 500,000 each
year over the 2020-20209 period. The increase in spending for that coverage would be
partially offset by an estimated decline in average nongroup premiums of about 1 percent,
which would lower the average subsidy in the marketplaces. That decline is the result of the
agencies' expectation that the people who purchase nongroup coverage as result of CMS's
expanded advertising and outreach activities would likely be healthier, on average, than the
average nongroup enrollee who would enroll under current law.

On net, CBO and JCT estimate that enacting H.R. 987 would increase the deficit by
$13.5 billion over the 2019-2029 period. That amount includes an $11.8 billion increase in
direct spending and a $1.7 billion decrease in revenues.

Details of the estimated budgetary effect of H.R. 987 are shown in Table 1. The costs of the
legislation fall within budget function 550.

The CBO staff contact for this estimate is Kevin McNellis. The estimate was reviewed by
Leo Lex, Deputy Assistant Director for Budget Analysis.




                See also CBO's Cost Estimates Explained, wwwcbo.gov/publication/54437;
  How CBO Prepares Cost Estimates, www.cbo.gov/publication/53519; and Glossary, www.cbo~govipublicationi42904.

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