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1 Monthly Budget Review for January 2018 1 (February 7, 2018)

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                                                                                     February 7, 2018





          Monthly Budget Review for January 2018


The federal budget deficit was $174 billion for the first four months of fiscal year 2018, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates, $16 billion more than the shortfall recorded during the same period last year.
Revenues  and outlays were higher, by 4 percent and 5 percent, respectively, than during the first four
months of fiscal year 2017.

As was the case last year, this year's outlays were affected by shifts in the timing of certain payments that
otherwise would have been due on a weekend. If not for those shifts, outlays and the deficit through
January would have been slightly larger, both this year and last year-but the year-to-year changes would
not have been very different.


                                   Budget Totals, October-January
                                            Billions of Dollars

                           Actual, FY 2017        Preliminary. FY 2018     Estimated Change

          Receipts              1.085                   1.131                    46
          Outlays               1.243                   1,306                    62

          Deficit (-)           -159                    -174                    -16
          Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
          Statement for December 2017 and the Daily Treasury Statements for January 2018.
          FY = fiscal year.




Total Receipts:  Up  by 4 Percent   in the First Four Months   of Fiscal Year 2018
Receipts totaled $1,131 billion during the first four months of fiscal year 2018, CBO estimates-$46 billion
more than during the same period last year. That increase resulted from changes in receipts from the
following sources:

    m   Individual income and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $68 billion
        (or 8 percent).
        o    Amounts  withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $65 billion (or 8 percent). That
             change largely reflects increases in wages and salaries. Payments of withheld taxes also
             may have been boosted, on net, by the anticipation of or by responses to the tax legislation
             that was enacted in December.
         o   Nonwithheld payments  of income and payroll taxes rose by $4 billion (or 3 percent). The
             first quarterly payment of estimated individual income taxes in the current fiscal year was
             due by January 15.




Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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