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1 Monthly Budget Review for November 2017 1 (2017)

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                                                                                   December  7, 2017





       Monthly Budget Review for November 2017

The federal budget deficit was $198 billion for the first two months of fiscal year 2018, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates, $15 billion more than the one recorded during the same period last year. Revenues
and outlays alike were 6 percent higher than in October and November 2016. As was the case last year, this
year's outlays were reduced by the shift of certain payments from October to September because October 1
fell on a weekend. Otherwise, outlays and the deficit through November would have been larger, both this
year and last year-but the year-to-year differences would not have been very different. Outlays so far this
year would have been $41 billion (rather than $39 billion, still about 6 percent) larger than those in the
same period last year, and the deficit would have risen by $18 billion.


                                 Budget  Totals, October-November
                                           Billions of Dollars

                           Actual. FY 2017       Preliminary. FY 2018     Estimated Change

          Receipts               422                     445                    23
          Outlays                604                     643                    39

          Deficit (-)           -183                    -198                   -15
          Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
          Statement for October 2017 and the Daily Treasury Statements for November 2017.
          FY = fiscal year.



Total Receipts:  Up  by 6 Percent  in the First Two  Months  of Fiscal Year  2018
Receipts totaled $445 billion during the first two months of fiscal year 2018, CBO estimates-$23 billion
more than during the same period last year. The changes between last year and this year were as follows:

   *  Individual income and  payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $24 billion (or
      6 percent).
         o   Amounts  withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $24 billion (or 7 percent). That
             change reflects increases in wages and salaries.
         o   Nonwithheld  payments of income and payroll taxes, as well as individual income tax
             refunds, were all about the same as during the comparable period last year. Those
             payments  are all generally very small at this point in the fiscal year.

   *  Corporate  income taxes fell by about $2 billion (from $3 billion in the first two months of
      fiscal year 2017 to about $1 billion so far this year). Because corporate income tax receipts in
      October and November  generally represent a small percentage of the year's total, the results
      for those two months are not a significant indicator of receipts for the whole fiscal year. The
      first quarterly estimated payment of those taxes in the current fiscal year, for most
      corporations, is not due until December 15.

   *  Receipts from other sources, on net, rose by $2 billion (or 4 percent).

Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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