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1 Monthly Budget Review: December 2020 1 (January 11, 2021)

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                                          Congressional Budget Office










Monthly Budget Review:,


December 2020                                                              January  11, 2021


The federal budget deficit was $572 billion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2021, the
Congressional Budget  Office estimates-$215 billion more than the deficit recorded during the
same period last year. Revenues were about the same and outlays were 18 percent higher from
October through December  than during the same perod in fiscal year 2020.

As was the case in fiscal year 2020, outlays increased in the first quarter of 2021 because certain
payments  that otherwise would have been due on January 1, a holiday, were instead made in
December.  In addition, unlike last year, certain payments, totaling $24 billion, that normally are
made  on the third of the month were shifted from January 2021 into December 2020 because
January 3 fell on a Sunday. If not for those shifts, the first-quarter deficit (through December
2020) would  have been $525 billion, or $191 billion more than the first-quarter deficit of
$334 billion in fiscal year 2020.


Table 1.
Budget Totals, October-December
Billions of Dollars
                          Actual,                 Preliminary,              Estimated
                          FY2020                   FY2021                    Change
 Receipts                  807                       803                       -3
 Outlays                  1163                      1,375                     212
 Deficit (-)               -357                      -572                     -215
 Data sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury Statement for November 2020 and the
 Daily Treasury Statements for December 2020.
 FY = fiscal year.



 Total  Receipts: Little Changed in the
 First Three   Months of Fiscal Year 2021
 Receipts totaled $803 billion during the first three months of fiscal year 2021, CBO estimates-
 $3 billion (or 0.4 percent) less than during the same period last year. Changes between last year
 and this year are described below.


The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash flow of the Postal Service, which
are off-budget. Numbers may not sum to totals because of rounding.

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