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1 Monthly Budget Review for July 2020 1 (August 10, 2020)

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                    ~August 10, 2020








             Monthly Budget Review for July 2020


The federal budget deficit in July 2020 was $61 billion, CBO estimates, compared with a deficit of
$120 billion in the same month last year. That decrease, following three months of substantially larger
deficits, occurred because payment deadlines for individual and corporate income taxes were delayed from
April and June to July, so tax receipts were unusually large this July. All told, for the period from April
through July, revenues were down 10 percent from last year's amounts.

A shift in the timing of certain payments had the opposite effect-increasing the deficit in July. Federal
payments totaling $57 billion were made in July rather than August because August 1 fell on a weekend; no
such shift occurred in July 2019. Even without those timing shifts, federal spending was much higher this
July than it was last year. Outlays for unemployment compensation contributed significantly to the deficit
this July, accounting for more than half of the increase in government spending (excluding the timing
shifts).

                                       Budget Totals for July
                                           Billions of Dollars








                         a.~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~   ~   ~   ~~~       ~~~~~Wt Adjusteamutexldthefetofsiinpyments thtohriewul aebe  aeon
                                Actual, Pheliminary,    Estimated   Billions of
                           e1FY 201r9       FY 2020      Change      Dollars      Percent

          Receipts                251        563          312         312          124
          Outlays                 371        624          253         197           53
          Deficit (-)            -120        -61           58         115           -96

          Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury.
          FY = fiscal year.
          a. Adjusted amounts exclude the effects of shifting payments that otherwise would have been made on a
            weekend.


The cumulative federal budget deficit for the first 10 months of fiscal year 2020 reached $2.8 trillion, CBO
estimates, $1.9 trillion more than the deficit recorded during the same period last year (see Figure 1).
Revenues were 1 percent lower and outlays were 51 percent higher through July 2020 than during the same
10-month period in fiscal year 2019.


Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not sum to totals because of rounding.

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