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1 Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit, November 2017 1 (2017)

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                    sq NOVEMBER 2017






Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit,

                      November 2017


The debt limit-commonly   called the debt ceiling-is
the maximum   amount of debt that the Department
of the Treasury can issue to the public or to other
federal agencies. The amount is set by law and has
been increased over the years to finance the govern-
ment's operations. Currently, there is no statutory
limit on the issuance of new federal debt because the
Continuing Appropriations Act, 2018 and Supplemental
Appropriations for Disaster Relief Requirements Act,
2017  (Public Law 115-56), enacted in September 2017,
suspended the limit through December 8, 2017. On
December  9, 2017, however, the limit will be reset to
reflect cumulative borrowing through the period of
suspension. Unless additional legislation either extends
the suspension or increases the limit, existing statutes
then will allow the Treasury to declare a debt issuance
suspension period and to take extraordinary measures
to borrow additional funds without breaching the debt
ceiling.

The Congressional Budget Office projects that if the
debt limit remains unchanged, the ability to borrow
using extraordinary measures will be exhausted and the
Treasury will most likely run out of cash by late March
or early April 2018. If that occurred, the government
would be unable to pay its obligations fully, and it would
delay making payments for its activities, default on its
debt obligations, or both. (The timing and size of reve-
nue collections and of outlays over the next few months
could differ noticeably from CBO's projections, however,
so the extraordinary measures could be exhausted and
the Treasury could run out of cash either earlier or later
than CBO  projects.)

What   Is the Current  Situation?
P.L. 115-56 specifies that the amount of borrowing that
occurs during the suspension of the debt limit will be


added to the previous ceiling of $19.8 trillion. As of
November   17, 2017, an additional $0.7 trillion had been
borrowed, bringing the amount of outstanding debt
subject to limit up to $20.5 trillion. The new debt limit
that will be established on December 9, 2017, will reflect
additional borrowing through December 8.

If the current suspension is not extended or if a higher
debt limit is not legislated before December 9, from
that date forward, under standard procedures, the
Treasury will have no room to borrow other than to
replace maturing debt. To avoid breaching the limit,
the Treasury would then begin to take the extraordinary
measures that allow it to continue to borrow additional
amounts  for a limited time. Continued use of those mea-
sures, along with regular cash inflows over the next few
months, should allow the Treasury to finance the govern-
ment's activities for that period without an increase in
the debt ceiling.

What   Makes   Up Debt  Subject  to Limit?
Debt subject to the statutory limit consists of debt held
by the public and debt held by government accounts.
Debt held by the public consists mostly of securities
that the Treasury issues to raise cash to fund operations
that cannot be covered by federal revenues. Such debt is
held by outside investors, including the Federal Reserve
System. Debt held by government accounts is issued to
the federal government's trust funds and other federal
accounts for internal transactions; it is not traded in cap-
ital markets (see Debt Issuance: Government Account
Series). Trust funds for Social Security, Medicare,



1. For more information on different measures of federal debt,
   see Congressional Budget Office, Federal Debt and Interest Costs
   (December 2010), www.cbo.gov/publication/21960.


Note: Unless otherwise indicated, all years referred to are federal fiscal years, which run from October 1 to September 30 and are
designated by the calendar year in which they end. Numbers may not sum to totals because of rounding.

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