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CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                            Keith Hall, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515



                             January 2, 2018



Honorable Ron Wyden
Ranking Member
Committee on Finance
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510

Re:   Estimated Deficits and Debt Under the Conference Agreement of H.R. 1,
      a Bill to Provide for Reconciliation Pursuant to Titles II and V of the
      Concurrent Resolution on the Budget for Fiscal Year 2018, as filed by
      the Conferees to H.R. 1 on December 15, 2017

Dear Senator:

This letter responds to your request for information about the estimated
deficits and debt under the Conference Agreement of H.R. 1 as filed by the
Conferees on December 15, 2017. The Congressional Budget Office and the
staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation determined that provisions in the
Conference Agreement would increase deficits over the 2018-2027 period by
$1.5 trillion (not including any macroeconomic effects). By CBO's estimate,
additional debt service would boost the 10-year increase in deficits to $1.8
trillion. As a result of those higher deficits, debt held by the public would
increase from the 91.2 percent of gross domestic product in CBO's June 2017
baseline to 97.5 percent.

If you wish further details on this estimate, we will be pleased to provide them.

                                      Sincerely,



                                      Keith Hall

Enclosure

cc: Honorable Orrin G. Hatch
     Chairman

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