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                CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE

a                         COST ESTIMATE
                                                                 December 15, 2017


                                    H.R. 3440
                                Dream Act of 2017

              As introduced in the House of Representatives on July 26, 2017


 SUMMARY

 H.R. 3440 would allow certain noncitizens-namely, inadmissible or deportable aliens-
 who arrived in the United States before the age of 18 to receive lawful permanent
 resident (LPR) status under certain conditions. If they met further qualifications-related
 to education, employment, or uniformed service-the bill would permit them to remove
 the conditional basis of their LPR status, making them eligible to naturalize.

 CBO estimates that H.R. 3440 would provide lawful immigration status and work
 authorization to around 2 million people who otherwise would be physically present in
 the United States but lacking such legal authority. The bill would affect direct spending
 by conferring eligibility for federal benefits-health insurance subsidies and benefits
 under Medicaid and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), among
 others-provided that those applicants met the other eligibility requirements for those
 programs.

 H.R. 3440 would also affect federal revenues: The increase in the number of workers
 with employment authorization would affect receipts of individual and corporate income
 taxes and payroll taxes. Newly authorized workers also would become eligible for some
 refundable tax credits (included in the spending total below).

 CBO and the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) estimate that enacting
 H.R. 3440 would increase direct spending by $26.8 billion over the 2018-2027 period.
 Over that same period, CBO and JCT estimate that the bill would increase revenues, on
 net, by $0.9 billion-a decline in on-budget revenues of $4.3 billion and an increase in
 off-budget revenues of $5.3 billion.

 In total, CBO and JCT estimate that changes in direct spending and revenues from
 enacting H.R. 3440 would increase budget deficits by $25.9 billion over the 2018-2027
 period, boosting on-budget deficits by $30.6 billion and decreasing off-budget deficits by
 $4.7 billion over that period. Pay-as-you-go procedures apply because enacting the bill
 would affect direct spending and revenues.

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