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                CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE

a                         COST ESTIMATE
                                                                 December 15, 2017


                                      S. 1615
                                Dream Act of 2017

                      As introduced in the Senate on July 20, 2017


 SUMMARY

 S. 1615 would allow certain noncitizens-namely, inadmissible or deportable aliens-
 who arrived in the United States before the age of 18 to receive lawful permanent
 resident (LPR) status under certain conditions. If they met further qualifications-related
 to education, employment, or uniformed service-the bill would permit them to remove
 the conditional basis of their LPR status, making them eligible to naturalize.

 CBO estimates that S. 1615 would provide lawful immigration status and work
 authorization to around 2 million people who otherwise would be physically present in
 the United States but lacking such legal authority. The bill would affect direct spending
 by conferring eligibility for federal benefits-health insurance subsidies and benefits
 under Medicaid and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), among
 others-provided that those applicants met the other eligibility requirements for those
 programs.

 S. 1615 would also affect federal revenues: The increase in the number of workers with
 employment authorization would affect receipts of individual and corporate income taxes
 and payroll taxes. Newly authorized workers also would become eligible for some
 refundable tax credits (included in the spending total below).

 CBO and the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) estimate that enacting
 S. 1615 would increase direct spending by $26.8 billion over the 2018-2027 period. Over
 that same period, CBO and JCT estimate that the bill would increase revenues, on net, by
 $0.9 billion-a decline in on-budget revenues of $4.3 billion and an increase in off-
 budget revenues of $5.3 billion.

 In total, CBO and JCT estimate that changes in direct spending and revenues from
 enacting S. 1615 would increase budget deficits by $25.9 billion over the 2018-2027
 period, boosting on-budget deficits by $30.6 billion and decreasing off-budget deficits by
 $4.7 billion over that period. Pay-as-you-go procedures apply because enacting the bill
 would affect direct spending and revenues.

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