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1 H.R. 88, Retirement, Savings, and Other Tax Relief Act of 2018 and Taxpayer First Act of 2018 1 (December 20, 2018)

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                  CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE
                               COST ESTIMATE

                                                               December 20, 2018



                                    H.R. 88
         Retirement, Savings, and Other Tax Relief Act of 2018 and
                          Taxpayer First Act of 2018

                        House Rules Committee Print 115-87


SUMMARY

H.R. 88 would make a variety of changes to the tax code. Division A of the bill would
provide tax relief for victims of disasters, modify the requirements for tax-favored
savings accounts and employer-provided retirement plans, delay or repeal certain health-
related taxes, extend certain expiring provisions, make technical corrections to Public
Law 115-97, eliminate the increase in unrelated business taxable income related to
certain transportation fringe benefits, and allow 501(c)(3) organizations to make
statements relating to political campaigns. Division B of the bill would make numerous
changes to rules governing the Internal Revenue Service (IRS).

The staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) and CBO estimate that enacting the
bill would reduce revenues by about $99.7 billion over the 2019-2028 period, and
decrease outlays by $557 million over the same period, leading to an increase in the
deficit of $99.2 billion over the 2019-2028 period. A portion of the changes in revenues
would be from Social Security payroll taxes, which are classified as off-budget.
Excluding the estimated $0.8 billion decrease in off-budget revenues over the next 10
years, JCT and CBO estimate that H.R. 88 would increase on-budget deficits by about
$98.4 billion over the 2019-2028 period. Pay-as-you-go procedures apply because
enacting the legislation would affect direct spending and revenues.

CBO and JCT estimate that enacting H.R. 88 would increase on-budget deficits by more
than $5 billion in at least one of the four 10-year periods beginning in 2029. CBO and
JCT estimate that enacting the legislation would not increase net direct spending by more
than $5 billion in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2029.

The staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation has determined that the tax provisions of
H.R. 88 contain no intergovernmental or private sector mandates as defined in Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act (UMRA).

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