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1 H.R. 6760, Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018 1 (September 21, 2018)

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                   CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE

a                              COST ESTIMATE
                                                                September 21, 2018


                                    H.R. 6760
         Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018

  As ordered reported by the House Committee on Ways and Means on September 13, 2018


  SUMMARY

  H.R. 6760, the Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018, would repeal
  the December 31, 2025 expiration date for numerous provisions of U.S. tax law that were
  temporarily changed by the 2017 tax act (Public Law 115-97). The bill would make
  permanent the individual income tax brackets and tax rates, standard deduction and child
  tax credit amounts, business income deduction, and exemption amounts for the
  Alternative Minimum Tax in effect under current law. Deductions for personal
  exemptions and certain itemized deductions would be permanently repealed.

  The staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) estimates that enacting the bill would
  reduce revenues by about $597 billion over the 2019-2028 period, and increase outlays
  by $34 billion over the same period, leading to an increase in the deficit of $631 billion
  over the next 10 years. A portion of the changes in revenues would be from Social
  Security payroll taxes, which are off-budget. Excluding the estimated $687 million
  increase in off-budget revenues over the next 10 years, JCT estimates that H.R. 6760
  would increase on-budget deficits by about $632 billion over the period from 2019 to
  2028. Pay-as-you-go procedures apply because enacting the legislation would affect
  direct spending and revenues.

  JCT estimates that enacting H.R. 6760 would increase on-budget deficits by more than
  $5 billion in at least one of the four 10-year periods beginning in 2029. CBO and JCT
  estimate that enacting the legislation would increase net direct spending by more than
  $2.5 billion in at least one of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2029.

  Because of the magnitude of the estimated budgetary effects, this bill is considered to be
  major legislation, as defined in section 5107 of H. Con. Res. 71, the Concurrent
  Resolution on the Budget for Fiscal Year 2018. Hence, it triggers the requirement that the
  cost estimate, to the extent practicable, include the budgetary impact of its
  macroeconomic effects. The staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation is currently
  analyzing changes in economic output, employment, capital stock, and other
  macroeconomic variables resulting from the bill for purposes of determining these

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