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                                                                                      July 8, 2019





             Monthly Budget Review for June 2019


The federal budget deficit was $746 billion for the first nine months of fiscal year 2019, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates, $139 billion more than the deficit recorded during the same period last year.
Revenues  were $69 billion higher and outlays were $208 billion higher than during first nine months
of 2018.


                                    Budget Totals, October-June
                                           Billions of Dollars

                           Actual, FY 2018       Preliminary FY 2019   Estimated  Change

          Receipts              2.541                  2.609                    69
          Outlays               3.148                  3.356                   208

          Deficit (-)           -607                    -746                  -139
          Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
          Statement for May 2019 and the Daily Treasury Statements for June 2019.
          FY = fiscal year.


Total Receipts:  Up  by 3 Percent  in the First Nine Months   of Fiscal Year 2019
Receipts totaled $2,609 billion during the first nine months of fiscal year 2019, CBO estimates-
$69 billion (or 3 percent) more than during the same period last year. That increase was the result of
changes in receipts from the following sources:

    m   Individual income  and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $60 billion
        (or 3 percent).
            o   Amounts  withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $37 billion (or 2 percent). That
                change  largely reflects increases in wages and salaries that were partly offset by a decline
                in the share of income withheld for taxes. The Internal Revenue Service issued new
                withholding tables in January 2018 to reflect changes made by the 2017 tax act (Public
                Law  115-97). All employers were required to begin using the new tables by February 15,
                2018. Those new  withholding rates were in effect during the first nine months of this
                fiscal year but for only four and a half months of the same period last year.
            o   Nonwithheld  payments of income and payroll taxes rose by $7 billion (or 1 percent).

            o   Income  tax refunds were down by $20 billion (or 8 percent), further boosting net receipts.
            o   Unemployment   insurance receipts (one kind of payroll tax) declined by $4 billion
                 (or 10 percent).





Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not sum to totals because of rounding.

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