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                                                                                      April 7, 2020





            Monthly Budget Review for March 2020


The federal budget deficit was $741 billion in the first half of fiscal year 2020, the Congressional Budget
Office estimates, $50 billion more than the deficit recorded during the same period last year. Revenues and
outlays alike were higher through March of this year-by 6 percent and 7 percent, respectively-than
during the first half of fiscal year 2019. Those results were not significantly affected by the novel
coronavirus pandemic or by the federal government's response to it. The budgetary effects of the
pandemic's impact on economic activity and of the legislation recently enacted in response will become
more noticeable in April.

                                    Budget Totals, October-March
                                            Billions of Dollars

                           Actual, FY 2019        Preliminary, FY 2020     Estimated Change

          Receipts              1.507                   1.604                    97
          Outlays               2.195                   2.345                   147

          Deficit (-)           -691                    -741                    -50
          Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
          Statement for February 2020 and the Daily Treasury Statements for March 2020.
          FY = fiscal year.


Total Receipts: Up by 6 Percent in the First Half of Fiscal Year 2020
Receipts totaled $1,604 billion during the first half of fiscal year 2020, CBO estimates-$97 billion more
than during the same period last year. Payments received through March did not yet reflect the disruption
of the economy stemming from the pandemic or the government's actions in response. CBO expects some
revenue effects to become apparent in April because the tax-filing deadlines have been delayed until July
and because provisions of Public Law 116-127 (the Families First Coronavirus Response Act) and
P.L. 116-136 (the CARES Act) will result in receipts being substantially lower for the year than they were
last year.

The changes through March from last year to this year were as follows:

    * Individual income and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $80 billion
        (or 6 percent).
             o   Amounts withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $73 billion (or 6 percent), largely
                 reflecting increases in wages and salaries.
             o   Nonwithheld payments of income and payroll taxes rose by $9 billion (or 5 percent),
                 increasing net receipts. The first quarterly payment of estimated individual income taxes
                 in the current fiscal year was due by January 15.




Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not sum to totals because of rounding.

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