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1 Monthly Budget Review for November 2019 1 (December 9, 2019)

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                                                                                   December 9, 2019





       Monthly Budget Review for November 2019


The federal budget deficit was $342 billion for the first two months of fiscal year 2020, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates, $36 billion more than the deficit recorded during the same period last year.
Revenues and outlays were higher-by 3 percent and 6 percent, respectively-than in October and
November 2018.

Because December 1 fell on a weekend in 2019 and in 2018, outlays through November in each fiscal year
were boosted by the shift of certain payments from December to November. If not for those timing shifts,
outlays so far this year would have been $44 billion greater than those in the same period last year, and the
deficit would have risen less-by $32 billion.


                                 Budget Totals, October-November
                                           Billions of Dollars

                           Actual, FY 2019       Preliminary, FY 2020     Estimated Change

          Receipts               459                     471                    12
          Outlays                764                     513                    49

          Deficit (-)           -305                    -342                   -36
          Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
          Statement for October 2019 and the Daily Treasury Statements for November 2019.
          FY = fiscal year.


Total Receipts: Up by 3 Percent in the First Two Months of Fiscal Year 2020
Receipts totaled $471 billion during the first two months of fiscal year 2020, CBO estimates-$12 billion
more than during the same period last year. The changes from last year to this year were as follows:

    * Receipts from individual income and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by
        $17 billion (or 4 percent).
            o   Amounts withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $16 billion (or 4 percent). That
                change reflects increases in wages and salaries.
             o  Nonwithheld payments of income and payroll taxes fell slightly-by less than $1 billion
                 (or less than 1 percent); individual income tax refunds fell by $1 billion (or 7 percent),
                 increasing net receipts. Receipts from those two sources generally are small at this point
                 in the fiscal year.

    *   Receipts from corporate income taxes rose, on net, by $1 billion (or 14 percent). Because
        corporate income tax receipts in October and November generally represent a small percentage of
        the year's total, the results for those two months are not a significant indicator of receipts for the


Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not sum to totals because of rounding.

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