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1 Monthly Budget Review for March 2018 1 (April 6, 2018)

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                                                                                      April 6, 2018





            Monthly Budget Review for March 2018


The federal budget deficit was $598 billion for the first half of fiscal year 2018, the Congressional Budget
Office estimates, $71 billion more than the shortfall recorded during the same period last year. Revenues
and outlays were higher, by 2 percent and 5 percent, respectively, than they were during the first half of
fiscal year 2017.


                                    Budget Totals, October-March
                                            Billions of Dollars

                           Actual, FY 2017        Preliminary FY 2018      Estimated Change

          Receipts              1,473                   1.499                    26
          Outlays               2.000                   2.097                    97

          Deficit (-)           -527                    -598                    -71
          Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
          Statement for February 2017 and the Daily Treasury Statements for March 2018.
          FY = fiscal year.



Total Receipts:  Up  by 2 Percent   in the First Half of Fiscal Year 2018
Receipts totaled $1,499 billion during the first six months of fiscal year 2018, CBO estimates-$26 billion
more than during the same period last year. That increase resulted from changes in receipts from the
following sources:

    m   Individual income and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $56 billion
        (or 5 percent).
        o    Amounts  withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $47 billion (or 4 percent). That
             change largely reflects increases in wages and salaries that were partly offset,
             beginning in February, by a decline in the share of income withheld for taxes. In
             January, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) issued new withholding tables to reflect
             changes made by Public Law 115-97, the major tax legislation enacted in December
             2017. All employers were required to begin using the new tables by February 15, 2018.
         o   Nonwithheld payments  of income and payroll taxes rose by $11 billion (or 7 percent).
             The first quarterly payment of estimated individual income taxes in the current fiscal
             year was due by January 15. (That payment was for 2017 tax liability.) Most taxpayers
             will not make their final payment of income taxes for 2017 until this month, when
             individual tax returns are due.
         o   Income tax refunds were up by $3 billion (or 2 percent), reducing net receipts.




Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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