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   Congressional Budget Office
/  Cost   Estimate


June 26, 2019


By Fiscal Year, Millions of Dollars 2019              2019-2024             2019-2029
Direct Spending (Outlays)              0               4,735                 9,735


Revenues

Deficit Effect


0

0


    0

4,735


    0

9,735


H.R. 3298 would  amend  title IV of the Social Security Act to appropriate $3.9 billion for the
Child Care Entitlement program in each of fiscal years 2020 and 2021, providing a total
appropriation of $7.8 billion. Consistent with the rules specified in section 257 of the
Balanced Budget  and Emergency  Deficit Control Act of 1985 (Deficit Control Act), CBO
assumes that the changes made to that program would continue after 2021, the final year of
authorization under the bill. The child care program is currently authorized through June 30,
2019, at an annualized rate of $2.9 billion. CBO's baseline projections include the
assumption that the program will continue at that level of funding consistent with the rules in
the Deficit Control Act.

Thus, relative to CBO's baseline, H.R. 3298 would increase funding for the program by
$1 billion annually. Accordingly, and based on historical spending patterns for that program,
CBO  estimates that enacting H.R. 3298 would increase direct spending by $9.7 billion over
the 2019-2029 period.

CBO  estimates that enacting H.R. 3298 would increase net direct spending and on-budget
deficits by more than $5 billion in all four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2030.

The estimated budgetary effects of H.R. 3298 is shown in Table 1. The costs of the
legislation, detailed in Table 1, fall within budget function 600 (income security).




                 See also CBO's Cost Estimates Explained, www.cbo.gov/publication/54437;
  How CBO Prepares Cost Estimates, www.cbo.gov/publication/53519; and Glossary, www.cbo.gov/publication/42904.

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