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Memorandum from Bob Hale and John Hamre re: Preliminary Analysis of Equipping the Total Army and POMCUS Sets 5 and 6 [i] (April 1984)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo9986 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE Rudolph G. Penner U.S. CONGRESS Director WASHINGTON, D.C. 20515 April 11, 1984 MEMORANDUM FROM: Bob Hale .) John Hamre SUBJECT: Preliminary Analysis of Equipping the Total Army and POMCUS Sets 5 and 6 Attached are briefing slides and explanatory notes that comprise preliminary results of an analysis of the Army's ability to equip its total force and POMCUS sets 5 and 6. The analysis has been done by the Congressional Budget Office at the request of the Defense Subcommittee of the Senate Appropriations Committee. These preliminary results are being made available in time for Subcommittee hearings on Army procurement. In the fiscal year 1984 Defense Appropriations bill, the Congress directed that the Army not proceed with prepositioning equipment in POMCUS sets 5 and 6 until 70 percent and 50 percent of equipment requirements were provided to the active and reserve forces, respectively. The language in the law is vague. But CBO's analysis finds that, given a stringent interpretation of the 70/50 thresholds, current Army inventories are sufficient to proceed in fiscal year 1984 with equipping POMCUS sets 5 and 6 for almost all major combat items and most major combat support items. Moreover, the Administration's procurement plans for fiscal year 1985 to 1989, at least those included in the February 1984 budget, indicate that the Army will not be seriously constrained from proceeding with the POMCUS program over the next five years. Even if the Army continues with its likely distribution plans-which more than meet the law's minimum requirements-its POMCUS plans will not be seriously constrained for major combat items, though they would be for many combat support items. Later this year, CBO will publish a full report on equipping the Army. That report will consider the effects of alternative procurement plans and alternative definitions of the law on the Army's ability to meet the Congressionally-mandated thresholds. The analysis is being done by Nora Slatkin and Julie Carr of CBO's National Security and International Affairs Division. If you have any questions about these preliminary results, please call Nora at 226-2920. Attachment

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