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Letter from Peter R. Orszag, Director Congressional Budget Office to Paul Ryan re: information about estimated spending from the Highway Trust Fund under three scenarios 1 (July 2008)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo9978 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                        Peter R. Orszag, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
July 25, 2008
Honorable Paul Ryan
Ranking Member
Committee on the Budget
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington, DC 20515
Dear Congressman:
This letter responds to your request of July 18, 2008, for information about
estimated spending from the Highway Trust Fund under three scenarios. The
scenarios you specified include: Limiting spending in 2009 from the Highway
Trust Fund to cash on hand; an $8 billion transfer of funds from the General
Fund to the Highway Trust Fund; and a larger unspecified transfer of funds
from the General Fund to the Highway Trust Fund to liquidate obligations
from the trust fund through 2018. In each case, you asked CBO to assume that
the 2009 obligation limitation-$41.2 billion-authorized in Public Law 109-
59 (the Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient, Transportation Equity Act: A
Legacy for Users- SAFETEA-LU) is enacted. The Congress has not yet
enacted an obligation limitation for this program for 2009.
Limiting Outlays From the Highway Account Trust to the Fund's
Available Cash
If the obligation limitation authorized in SAFETEA-LU were enacted for
2009, and if the Highway Account of the Highway Trust Fund had sufficient
balances, CBO estimates that outlays from the account, including transfers to
the transit account of the trust fund, would total about $40 billion in fiscal year
2009. However, based on CBO's most recent revenue projections, we estimate
that the cash receipts and balances available to that account will total about
$36 billion in 2009. Thus, assuming that reimbursements to states would be
limited to the amount of cash on hand in the Highway Account, spending in
2009 could be no more than around $36 billion-about $4 billion less than the
outlays CBO estimates would occur under SAFETEA-LU if there were no
shortfall. Those payments would be made later as cash became available.

www.cbo.gov

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