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Letter to the Honorable Olympia Snowe 1 (January 2010)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo9380 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                      Douglas W. Elmendorf, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
January 11, 2010
Honorable Olympia Snowe
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Senator:
In late November, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and the staff of
the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) released an analysis of average
premiums for health insurance under the Patient Protection and Affordable
Care Act (PPACA) as introduced.' That analysis compared the estimates of
average premiums in 2016 under the proposal to those that would prevail
under current law and distinguished the effects among the markets for
individually purchased (nongroup) coverage, for small-group coverage, and
for large-group coverage.
This letter responds to your request for additional information about
expected premiums under that proposal for policies that would meet the
minimum requirements necessary to avoid paying a penalty for not having
insurance. As a rule, individuals would be required to have a policy
covering the essential benefits specified in the legislation and having an
actuarial value of at least 60 percent in order to avoid such a penalty. (A
plan's actuarial value is the share of costs for covered services that it would
pay, on average, with a broadly representative group of people enrolled.)
That minimum level of coverage is designated as a Bronze plan.
Several caveats apply to this analysis of Bronze premiums. First, it draws
on the calculations of premiums that were done for the PPACA as
originally introduced; as indicated in CBO's cost estimate for the PPACA
incorporating the manager's amendment, the effects of the Senate-passed
legislation on premiums are likely to be quite similar to those estimates but
may not be identical.2 Second, CBO has not analyzed premiums for Bronze
1 Congressional Budget Office,AAnlssoHelhIsrnePmisUdrtePaet
Protctin ad Aforabl Cae At,attachment to a letter to the Honorable Evan Bayh
(November 30, 2009).
2 Congressional Budget Office,cotetmtfothPainPrtconndAodblCrec,
incrpoatig te anaer' amndmnt(December 19, 2009).

www.cbo.gov

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