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Letter to the Honorable Joe Barton 1 (March 2005)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo9285 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGT OF FICE                    Douglas Holtz-Eakin,D
U .S. Congress
ashington, DC 20515
March 4, 2005
Honorable Joe Barton
Chairman
Committee on Energy and Commerce
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington, DC 20515
Dear Mr. Chairman:
Today the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its analysis of the
President's budget for fiscal year 2006, which includes an update of our
baseline projections for the 2006-2015 period. In preparing those projections,
we have revised our estimates of spending for Medicare, including the new
Part D prescription drug program. I am writing to describe CBO's current
estimate for that program.
CBO's Original Estimate for the Medicare Modernization Act (MMA)
In November 2003, CBO estimated that the MMA (Public Law 108-173)
would result in additional direct spending totaling about $395 billion over the
2004-2013 period. That amount was the net of a number of different types of
expenditures and receipts that would result from the legislation. It included an
estimated $552 billion in mandatory spending for Medicare Part D-consisting
of $771 billion in payments for benefits and mandatory administrative costs,
offset by $219 billion in premiums paid by beneficiaries and payments by
states. (Those payments by states represent part of their share of the savings
from shifting some Medicaid spending for prescription drugs to Medicare.)
Those costs were further offset by net savings of almost $13 billion from
changes to Parts A and B of Medicare and estimated savings of almost
$145 billion in Medicaid and other federal programs because the Part D benefit
would reduce spending in those federal programs (largely by shifting some
spending for prescription drugs from those programs to Medicare).

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