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Letter to the Honorable Don Nickles [i] (November 25, 2003)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo9258 and id is 1 raw text is: November 20, 2003

Honorable Don Nickles
Chairman
Committee on the Budget
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Mr. Chairman:
As you requested, I am pleased to provide additional information about CBO's
cost estimate for the conference agreement on H.R. 1, the Medicare
Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003.
Table 1 provides year-by-year details on CBO's projections of the major
elements of the prescription drug program that would be established under title
I. Table 2 displays additional information about the impact of H.R. I on
Medicare beneficiaries. Table 3 summarizes the estimated impact of the
legislation on state Medicaid costs-a net savings of $17.2 billion over the
2004-2013 period. Table 4 presents information about the number of
beneficiaries eligible for and expected to participate in the low-income
subsidies provided under title I.
CBO estimates that, of those participants in the Medicare prescription drug
program who will have relatively generous employer-sponsored drug benefits
under current law, about 2.7 million would not receive supplemental drug
benefits from those employer-sponsored plans under H.R. 1. That number
represents about 23 percent of participants in the prescription drug program
who will have such employer-sponsored drug benefits under current law (the
approach used in CBO's original cost estimate for H.R. I and S. 1). Other
Part B enrollees have employer-sponsored drug benefits under current law and
would generally not participate in the prescription drug program. In particular,
CBO assumes that active workers and those with prescription drug coverage
through the Federal Employees Health Benefits program and the Tricare for
Life program would continue to receive prescription drug coverage through
those programs and would generally choose not to participate in the Medicare
prescription drug program. Relative to all Part B enrollees who will

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