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Letter to the Honorable Paul Ryan [i] (July 2009)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo8348 and id is 1 raw text is: July 14, 2009

Honorable Paul Ryan
Ranking Member
Committee on the Budget
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington, DC 20515
Dear Congressman:
This letter responds to your request for an analysis of H.R. 2920, the Statutory Pay-
As-You-Go Act of 2009, as introduced on June 17, 2009. That legislation, which is
virtually identical to the proposal recently advanced by the Administration, would
establish new statutory pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) requirements and authorize the
Administration to enforce compliance through a sequestration mechanism. That pro-
cess, although similar to the statutory PAYGO system that was in place from 1990
through 2002, would differ from the former system in several significant ways.
Since the expiration of the former statutory PAYGO requirements, the House of Rep-
resentatives and the Senate have each instituted a rules-based pay-as-you-go process.
The statutory process detailed in H.R. 2920 would differ substantially from the
House and Senate rules. One significant difference is that the current rules are applied
on a bill-by-bill basis as the House and the Senate consider legislation, whereas the
proposed statutory process (like the former PAYGO system) would apply to the
cumulative estimated impact on the deficit of legislation affecting direct spending and
revenues enacted during a given year.
In the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO's) view, the PAYGO process specified in
H.R. 2920 includes some features-in particular, the statutory sequestration mecha-
nism-that could enhance overall budget enforcement. However, the proposed pro-
cess has other features that could lead to greater spending or lower revenues in the
coming decade than would occur under the existing House and Senate rules. For
example, the provisions in H.R. 2920 that would exempt certain tax and spending
policies from the PAYGO requirements and alter the proposed scoring of conversions
of programs from a discretionary to a mandatory status could increase future deficits.
Removing those provisions might mitigate such an effect.

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