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Letter to the Honorable Max Baucus [i] (July 2007)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo8108 and id is 1 raw text is: O   CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                             Peter R. Orszag, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
July 30, 2007
Honorable Max Baucus
Chairman
Committee on Finance
United States Senate
Washington, DC 205 10
Dear Mr. Chairman:
In response to your letter, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated
the impact on the number of uninsured children of the Administration's fiscal year
2008 budget proposal that would replace virtually all of the current tax
preferences for health insurance with a new standard deduction for taxpayers who
buy a qualifying health insurance plan.
Earlier this year, CBO estimated that enacting the proposal would result in a net
decrease of about 6.8 million in the number of uninsured people. (See Appendix
C of CBO's March 2007 An Analysis of the President's Budgetary Proposals for
Fiscal Year 2008.) Most of that reduction would result from otherwise uninsured
adults purchasing coverage in the individual (nongroup) market, many of whom
would find that the new tax deduction offset a substantial part of their insurance
premium. The estimated net reduction of 6.8 million people includes a net
decrease in the number of uninsured children of fewer than 0.5 million. That
estimated reduction in the number of uninsured children is largely the result of
two offsetting effects-some otherwise uninsured children would be covered by
new family policies, and some otherwise insured children (covered by their
parents' employer-based policy under current law) would be uninsured under the
proposal because their parents' employer would not offer coverage.
I hope that this inform-ation is useful to you. If you have any questions, please feel
free to contact me at (202) 226-2700. The staff contacts at CBO are David
Auerbach and Stuart Hagen, both of whom can be reached at (202) 226-2666.
Sncerely,
Peter R. Orszag
cc:   Honorable Charles E. Grassley
Ranking Member

www.cbo.gov

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