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Monthly Budget Review for February 2017 1 (March 7, 2017)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo3330 and id is 1 raw text is: 










                                                                                      March 7, 2017





         Monthly Budget Review for February 2017


The federal budget deficit was $348 billion for the first five months of fiscal year 2017, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates-$5  billion less than the shortfall recorded during the same span last year. But that
result was affected by shifts in the timing of certain payments that otherwise would have been due on a
weekend. If not for those shifts, the deficit for the first five months of fiscal year 2017 would have been
$37 billion larger than that recorded in the same period last year.


                                 Budget  Totals, October-February
                                           Billions of Dollars

                           Actual. FY 2016       Preliminary. FY 2017     Estimated Change

         Receipts              1,248                   1.256                     7
         Outlays               1.601                   1.604                     3

         Deficit (-)            -353                    -348                     5
         Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
         Statement for January 2016 and the Daily Treasury Statements for February 2017.
         FY = fiscal year.



Total Receipts:  Up  Slightly in the First Five Months   of Fiscal Year 2017

Receipts through February totaled $1,256 billion, CBO estimates-$7 billion (or 0.6 percent) more
than the amount for the same period last year. That slight increase is the net effect of the following
largely offsetting changes:

    m   Individual income  and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $36 billion (or
        3 percent).
      o   Amounts   withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $37 billion (or 4 percent). That change
          largely reflects increases in wages and salaries.
      o   Individual income tax refunds declined by $4 billion. That reduction was probably caused
          by a delay this year in the Internal Revenue Service's (IRS's) processing of refunds from
          returns that claimed the earned income tax credit and the additional child tax credit. That
          delay resulted from changes in processing procedures stemming from provisions of the
          Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2016 (Public Law 114-113).
      o   Nonwithheld  payments  of income and payroll taxes fell by $4 billion (or 3 percent).
      o   Receipts from unemployment   insurance taxes (one kind of payroll tax) declined by
           $2 billion (or 11 percent).



Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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