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Monthly Budget Review for December 2016 1 (January 9, 2017)

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                                                                                    January 9, 2017






       Monthly Budget Review for December 2016


The federal budget deficit was $207 billion for the first three months of fiscal year 2017, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates-$8 billion less than the shortfall recorded during the same period last year. But
that result was affected by shifts in the timing of certain payments that otherwise would have been due on a
weekend or holiday. If not for those shifts, outlays in the first quarter of this year would have been
$33 billion greater than those in the same quarter last year, rather than $34 billion less, and the deficit
would have risen by about $58 billion.


                                 Budget Totals, October-December
                                          (Billions of Dollars)

                          Actual. FY 2016       Preliminary. FY 201 7  Estimated Change

         Receipts               766                     740                    -25
         Outlays                981                     948                    -34

         Deficit (-)            -216                   -207                     8
         Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
         Statement for November 2016 and the Daily Treasury Statements for December 2016.
         FY = fiscal year.



Total Receipts: Down by 3 Percent in the First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2017
Receipts through December totaled $740 billion, CBO estimates-$25 billion less than the sum collected in
the same period last year. The largest year-over-year changes were the following:

    *   Remittances from the Federal Reserve to the Treasury, which are included in Other
        Receipts in the table below, fell by about $24 billion, largely because the Fixing America's
        Surface Transportation Act (Public Law 114-94) required the Federal Reserve to remit most
        of its surplus account to the Treasury in fiscal year 2016. The central bank remitted the
        required amount, $19 billion, in a onetime payment in December 2015.

    * Individual income and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $12 billion (or
        2 percent).
        o    Amounts withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $16 billion (or 3 percent). That
             change reflects increases in wages and salaries.
         o   Nonwithheld payments of income and payroll taxes were about the same as last year.
         o   Income tax refunds increased by $3 billion (or 14 percent), reducing net receipts.

    *   Corporate income taxes fell by about $10 billion (or 12 percent). For most corporations,
        the first quarterly estimated payment of those taxes in the current fiscal year was due on
        December 15.

Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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