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H.R. 4723, Protecting Taxpayers by Recovering Improper Obamacare Subsidy Overpayments Act 1 (March 22, 2016)

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                  CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE
                             COST ESTIMATE

                                                                  March 22, 2016


                                  H.R. 4723
    Protecting Taxpayers by Recovering Improper Obamacare Subsidy
                               Overpayments Act

    As ordered reported by the House Committee on Ways and Means on March 16, 2016


H.R. 4723 would amend the Internal Revenue Code to provide for the recovery of
overpayments resulting from certain federally subsidized health insurance. Under current
law, qualified taxpayers are eligible to receive refundable tax credits to assist in the
purchase of health insurance through the health insurance marketplaces established by the
Affordable Care Act. The amount of those premium assistance credits are based on family
size and income, and the advance payments of the credits is based on income estimated for
the current year. If taxpayers' circumstances change and their advance payments exceed
the premium assistance credits to which they are entitled, they may be required to repay
some or all of the credits, subject to certain limits based on income. Enacting H.R. 4723
would eliminate existing limits on the amounts required to be repaid by taxpayers.
Taxpayers would therefore be liable for the full amount of overpayments, beginning in tax
year 2017.

The staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) estimates that relative to CBO's
January 2016 baseline, the legislation would decrease outlays by $45.8 billion and increase
revenues by $15.8 billion over the 2016-2026 period. JCT therefore estimates that the
legislation would reduce federal budget deficits by $61.6 billion over the 2016-2026
period. The change in revenues includes a reduction of about $718 million over the
2016-2026 period that would result from changes in off-budget revenues (from Social
Security payroll taxes).

The Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Act of 2010 establishes budget-reporting and enforcement
procedures for legislation affecting direct spending and revenues. The estimated net
decrease in the deficit is shown in the following table. Only on-budget changes to outlays
or revenues are subject to pay-as-you-go procedures.

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