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Calculating the Budgetary Costs of Changes in Student Loan Programs 1 (February 10, 2016)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo2758 and id is 1 raw text is: 





O       CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                                     Keith Hall, Director
        U.S. Congress
        Washington, DC 20515




                            February 10, 2016



Honorable Tom Price, M.D.
Chairman
Committee on the Budget
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington, DC 20515

Re: Calculating the Budgetary Costs of Changes in Student Loan Programs

Dear Mr. Chairman:

This letter corrects my response to a question posed during the House
Budget Committee's hearing last week on the budget and economic
outlook. At that hearing, Congressman Woodall asked about the budgetary
effects of reducing the volume of student loans made through federal
programs. In response, I incorrectly stated that CBO's cost estimate for
legislation reducing the volume of such loans would show budgetary
savings for purposes of budget enforcement.

For such purposes, CBO calculates the subsidy costs for student loans
following the procedures specified in the Federal Credit Reform Act of
1990 (FCRA). Under those procedures, in CBO's January 2016 baseline
projections, the discounted present value of expected income from federal
student loans made during the 2016-2026 period is projected to exceed the
discounted present value of the government's costs; that is, the loan
program, overall, is projected to show budgetary savings.1 As a result,
reducing the total volume of student loans made during the next decade
would reduce those savings, resulting in budgetary costs.



1. Present value is a single number that expresses a flow of current and future income or
     payments in terms of an equivalent lump sum received or paid today; the present value
     depends on the rate of interest-known as the discount rate-that is used to translate future
     cash flows into current dollars.

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