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Letter to the Honorable Tom Price Regarding Spending for Means-Tested Programs in CBO's Baseline, 2016-2026 1 (February 16, 2016)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo2747 and id is 1 raw text is: 





O       CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                                 Keith Hall, Director
        U.S. Congress
        Washington, DC 20515




                                February 16, 2016

Honorable Tom Price, M.D.
Chairman
Committee on the Budget
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington, DC 20515

Re: Spending for Means-Tested Programs in CBO's Baseline, 2016 2026

Dear Mr. Chairman:

As you requested, enclosed are two tables that show federal spending for the
government's major mandatory spending programs and tax credits that are primarily
means-tested (that is, spending programs and tax credits that provide cash payments or
other forms of assistance to people with relatively low income or few assets):

     Table 1 shows CBO's January 2016 baseline projections for the 2016-2026
       period.

     Table 2 shows historical spending data from 2006 through 2015 along with CBO's
       estimates for 2016.

Each table also includes a line showing total spending for mandatory programs that are
not primarily means-tested. (Some of those programs-the student loan programs, for
example-have means-tested components, however.) The tables exclude means-tested
programs that are discretionary (such as the Section 8 housing assistance programs and
the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program). However, each table shows
discretionary spending for the Federal Pell Grant Program as a memorandum item
because that program has discretionary and mandatory components and because the
amount of the mandatory component depends in part on the amount of discretionary
funding.

In The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2016 to 2026, which CBO published in January
2016, mandatory outlays for means-tested programs are projected to grow over the next
decade at an average annual rate of 4.3 percent, compared with an average rate of
5.5 percent for non-means-tested programs, such as Social Security, most of Medicare,


www.cbo.gov

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