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Answers to Questions for the Record following a Hearing on the Renewable Fuel Standard Conducted by the Subcommittee on Environment and the Subcommittee on Oversight of the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology 1 (December 17, 2015)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo2704 and id is 1 raw text is: 








                                                                                DECEMBER 17,  2015





                     Answers to Questions for the Record
            Following   a Hearing on the Renewable Fuel Standard
          Conducted by the Subcommittee on Environment and the
          Subcommittee on Oversight of the House Committee on
                         Science,  Space,   and  Technology


On November  3, 2015, the Subcommittee on Environment and the Subcommittee on Oversight ofthe
House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology convened a joint hearing at which Terry Dinan,
Senior Advisor at the Congressional Budget Office, testified about the Renewable Fuel Standard. After
the hearing, Chairman Smith ofthe Committee and Chairman Bridenstine ofthe Environment
Subcommittee submitted questions for the record. This document provides CBO 's answers.

Chairman   Smith

Question. CBO's  analysis concluded that the RFS has had a minimal impact on the price of
food over the 10 year lifespan of the law, and repeal of the law would not significantly reduce
food prices. During the hearing, Mr. Ed Anderson raised the issue of corn crop yields as
related to the current price of corn, which are significantly lower than the price in 2012.
Mr. Anderson  linked this price drop to three record corn crops, and stated that this trend
was unlikely to continue. Do you agree with this statement? If so, would more typical, lower
yields of corn in the future be likely to significantly impact the price of food? Mr. Coleman
also stated that the agriculture market is influenced heavily by the price of oil, with the price
of corn dropping with lower oil prices. Do you agree with this statement? If so, could the
current drop in oil prices be impacting the price of corn?

Answer. The  Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) affects the price of corn and thus the price of
food. At present, roughly 40 percent of the U.S. corn supply is used to make ethanol. To the
extent that changes in the RFS raise or lower the demand for corn ethanol, the RFS will raise
or lower corn prices. However, because corn and food made with corn account for only a
small fraction of total U.S. spending on food (roughly 1.5 percent in 2015), the effects of the
RFS  on overall food prices are small. For example, CBO estimated that food prices would be
only slightly lower in 2017 (by less than 0.1 percent) if the RFS was repealed than they would
be if the volumes of biofuels required under the RFS in 2017 were the same as those proposed
for 2016.'




1. Those standards, which the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposed on September 29, 2015, were
   somewhat lower than the 2016 volumes that EPA mandated in its finalized rule, published on November 30,
   2015. See Renewable Fuel Standard Program: Standards for 2014, 2015, and 2016 and Biomass-Based Diesel
   Volume for 2017, 80 Fed. Reg. 33100, 33105 (proposed June 10, 2015), and Renewable Fuel Standard Program:
   Standards for 2014, 2015, and 2016 and Biomass-Based Diesel Volume for 2017, EPA-HQ-OAR-2015-0111,
       Fed. Reg. - (August 30, 2015) (to be codified at 40 C.ER. pt. 80) (Final Rule to be published in the
   Federal Register).

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