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Budgetary Effects of H.R. 3762, the Restoring Americans' Healthcare Freedom Reconciliation Act, as Passed by the Senate on December 3, 2015 1 (December 11, 2015)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo2701 and id is 1 raw text is: 


       CONGRESSIONAL  BUDGET OFFICE                                  Keith Hall, Director
       U.S. Congress
       Washington, DC 20515


                                December  11, 2015


Honorable Mike  Enzi
Chairman
Committee  on the Budget
United States Senate
Washington, DC  20510

Re: Budgetary Effects of H.R. 3762, the Restoring Americans' Healthcare Freedom
Reconciliation Act, as Passed by the Senate on December 3, 2015

Dear Mr. Chairman:

At your request (and that of Chairman Tom Price, M.D.), CBO and the staff of the Joint
Committee  on Taxation (JCT) have estimated the budgetary effects of H.R. 3762, the
Restoring Americans' Healthcare Freedom Reconciliation Act, as passed by the Senate.
CBO  and JCT  estimate that enacting H.R. 3762 would decrease deficits by about
$474 billion over the 2016-2025 period.

That estimate includes two components: Excluding macroeconomic feedback effects, the
act would reduce deficits by about $282 billion. In addition, the changes in economic
output and other macroeconomic variables that would result from enacting the legislation
would reduce deficits by about $193 billion, CBO and JCT estimate. The budgetary effects
of the act would result from changes to both direct spending and revenues. (CBO has not
estimated any effects this act might have on discretionary spending.)

The largest budgetary effects of enacting the legislation would stem from:

   *  Repealing subsidies for health insurance coverage obtained through exchanges
      beginning in 2018 and, prior to that year, eliminating the limitation on the amount
      people would have to repay if the premium tax credit they receive during the year
      exceeds the allowed amount based on their actual income;

   *  Repealing the optional expansion of eligibility for Medicaid that was established in
      the Affordable Care Act (ACA), beginning in 2018;

   *  Eliminating penalties associated with the requirements that most people obtain
      health insurance coverage and that large employers offer their employees health
      insurance coverage that meets specified standards, while keeping those
      requirements in place, beginning in 2016;

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