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Final Sequestration Report for Fiscal Year 2016 1 (December 2015)

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Final Sequestration Report for

             Fiscal Year 2016


Within  10 days of the end of a session of Congress, the
Congressional Budget Office is required by law to issue a
report that provides estimates of the limits (often called
caps) on discretionary budget authority in effect for
each fiscal year through 2021.' CBO is also required to
report whether, according to its estimates, enacted legisla-
tion for the current fiscal year has exceeded those caps; if
the caps were exceeded, a sequestration (that is, a cancel-
lation of budgetary resources) would be required.

In CBO's  estimation, such a sequestration will not be
required for 2016. However, the authority to determine
whether a sequestration is required and, if so, exactly how
to make the necessary cuts in budget authority rests with
the Administration's Office of Management and Budget
(OMB).   Those determinations are based on OMB's own
estimates of federal spending.


Limits on Discretionary Budget
Authority for 2016
The  Bipartisan Budget Act of 2015 (Public Law 114-74)
modified the caps on defense and nondefense funding for
fiscal year 2016 that were established by the Budget Con-
trol Act of 2011 (P.L. 112-25). The Bipartisan Budget
Act reset those limits to total $1,066.6 billion-
$548.1 billion for defense programs and $518.5 billion
for nondefense programs.

By law, however, the caps are adjusted upward
when  appropriations are provided for certain purposes.

1. Budget authority is the authority provided by law to incur finan-
   cial obligations that will result in immediate or future outlays of
   federal funds. Discretionary budget authority is provided and
   controlled by appropriation acts. All of the years referred to in
   this report are federal fiscal years, which run from October 1 to
   September 30.


Specifically, budget authority designated as an emergency
requirement or provided for overseas contingency opera-
tions, such as military activities in Afghanistan, leads to
an increase in the caps, as does budget authority provided
for some types of disaster relief (as this report explains
below) or for certain program integrity initiatives.2

To date, CBO  estimates, such adjustments to the caps on
discretionary budget authority for 2016 have totaled
$83.1 billion (see Table 1). Most of that amount,
$58.8 billion, is an increase in the defense cap to account
for budget authority provided for overseas contingency
operations. Estimated adjustments to the nondefense cap
include $14.9 billion for overseas contingency opera-
tions, $7.1 billion for disaster relief, $1.5 billion for pro-
gram  integrity initiatives related to Medicare and to the
Disability Insurance and Supplemental Security Income
programs, and $0.7 billion for emergency funding for
managing  forest fires.

After those adjustments are made, the caps on budget
authority for 2016 total an estimated $606.9 billion for
defense programs and $542.8 billion for nondefense
programs-about   $1.15  trillion in all. According to
CBO's  estimates, appropriations for defense and non-
defense programs in 2016 are equal to those caps; there-
fore, no sequestration will be required.

The  caps could be breached, however, if lawmakers were
to provide additional appropriations before the end of
September  2016-unless  those appropriations fell into
one of the categories that cause an adjustment to the
caps or were offset by reductions in funding for other

2. Such initiatives may be aimed at reducing improper benefit
   payments in the Disability Insurance and Supplemental Security
   Income programs, Medicare, Medicaid, and the Children's Health
   Insurance Program.

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