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Monthly Budget Review for November 2015 1 (December 7, 2015)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo2635 and id is 1 raw text is: 


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                                                                                     DECEMBER 7,   2015






       Monthly Budget Review for November 2015


The federal budget deficit was $200 billion for the first two months of fiscal year 2016, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates. That deficit was $22 billion larger than the one recorded during the same period
last year. Revenues and outlays were both higher than last year's amounts, by 3 percent and 6 percent,
respectively.

                                 Budget Totals, October-November
                                          (Billions of dollars)

                          Actual. FY 2015       Preliminary, FY 2016     Estimated Change

         Receipts               404                     416                    12
         Outlays                583                     616                    34

         Deficit                -179                   -200                    -22
         Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
         Statement for October 2015 and the Daily Treasury Statements for November 2015.
         Note: FY = fiscal year.



Total Receipts:  Up  by 3 Percent  in the First Two  Months  of Fiscal Year  2016
Receipts through November totaled $416 billion, CBO estimates-$12 billion more than the amount for the
same period last year. The largest year-over-year changes were the following:

    m Individual income taxes and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $19 billion
      (or 6 percent).
         o   Increases in amounts withheld from workers' paychecks-$16 billion (or 5 percent)-
             accounted for the bulk of that gain. Total wage and salary income and withheld taxes
             have both grown at about that same rate in recent quarters.
         o   Nonwithheld  receipts, mainly from filings of tax returns for 2014 by people who had
             received filing extensions, rose by $4 billion (or 13 percent). Those increases were
             slightly offset by income tax refunds that were up by $1 billion (or 9 percent).

    m Corporate  income taxes decreased by about $5 billion (from $13 billion in the first two
      months of fiscal year 2015 to $7 billion so far this year). Corporate income tax receipts in
      October and November  generally represent a small percentage of the year's total, so the
      results for those two months are not a significant indicator of the receipts for the fiscal year as
      a whole. The first quarterly estimated payment of those taxes in the current fiscal year, for
      most corporations, is not due until December 15.


Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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