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Letter to the Honorable Sander M. Levin regarding the Estimated Revenue Shortfall if Spending Authority for the Highway Trust Fund Were Extended beyond May 31, 2015 1 (May 28, 2015)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo2284 and id is 1 raw text is: 


    CONGRESSIONAL  BUDGET OFFICE                                    Keith Hall, Director
    U.S. Congress
    Washington, DC 20515


                                    May  28, 2015

Honorable  Sander M. Levin
Ranking  Member
Committee  on Ways  and Means
U.S. House  of Representatives
Washington,  DC  20515

Dear Congressman:

As you requested, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO)  has estimated the revenue
shortfall that would ensue if spending authority for the Highway Trust Fund were
extended beyond  May  31, 2015, when that authority expires, for various time periods.
You  requested that CBO assume  that spending would continue at historical rates
following any extension and that minimum  cash balances would be maintained in the
Highway  Trust Fund to enable the Department of Transportation (DOT) to manage  the
fund in the same fashion it has in recent years.

The estimates in Table 1 reflect the assumptions that the provisions (including revenue
provisions) of the Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (MAP-21) and the
Highway  Transportation Funding  Act of 2014 would be extended through the dates that
you specified. Further, the estimates reflect the assumption that funding for the Highway
Trust Fund in subsequent years would continue at the same level provided in 2015,
adjusted for inflation, and that the highway account would maintain a minimum cash
balance of $4 billion and that the transit account would have a minimum balance of
$1 billion.


Table 1: Estimated Revenue Shortfall in the Highway Trust Fund if Spending Authority Was Extended to
         Certain Dates

                Extend Spending                       Estimated Revenue Shortfall
                Authority Until                       in the Highway Trust Fund'

                September 30, 2015                            $3 billion
                December 31, 2015                             $8 billion
                May 31, 2021                               $85 billion to
                                                             $90 billion

 1. Estimates incorporate the assumption that DOT needs a minimum cash balance of $5 billion to pay obligations in a timely
   manner.

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