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Monthly Budget Review for May 2015 1 (June 5, 2015)

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                                                                                          JUNE 5,2015






              Monthly Budget Review for May 2015


The federal government ran a budget deficit of $368 billion for the first eight months of fiscal year 2015,
CBO  estimates. That deficit was $68 billion smaller than the one recorded during the same period last year.
Revenues  and outlays were both higher than the amounts recorded during the same period in fiscal year
2014-by   9 percent and 4 percent, respectively. If not for shifts in the timing of certain payments (which
otherwise would have fallen on a weekend), the deficit for the eight-month period would have been
$33 billion less this year than it was in fiscal year 2014.

                                     Budget Totals, October-May
                                          (Billions of dollars)

                          Actual, FY 2014        Preliminary, FY 2015     Estimated Change

         Receipts              1,937                   2,103                   166
         Outlays               2,373                   2,471                    98
         Deficit (-)            -436                    -368                    68
         Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
         Statement for April 2015 and the Daily Treasury Statements for May 2015.
         Note: FY = fiscal year.



Total Receipts:  Up  by 9 Percent   in the First Eight Months  of Fiscal Year  2015
Receipts for the first eight months of fiscal year 2015 totaled $2,103 billion, CBO estimates-$166 billion
(or 9 percent) more than receipts in the same period last year. The largest increases in receipts relative to
last year were in the following categories:

         Individual income  taxes and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by
           $138 billion (or 9 percent).
           o  The amounts withheld from workers' paychecks accounted for an increase of
              $76 billion (or about 5 percent). Most of that increase probably stemmed from growth
              in wages and salaries (as measured in the national income and product accounts),
              which also rose by 5 percent from October through April.
          o   Nonwithheld receipts rose by $64 billion (or 17 percent). The bulk of the increase
              came from payments  made during the tax-filing season (February through April),
              which increased by $45 billion (or 18 percent); most of those were final payments of
              taxes owed for 2014.
          o   Income tax refunds, also largely representing the settlement of 2014 taxes, were
              $217 billion, slightly more than they were last year.
          o   Receipts from unemployment  insurance taxes were down by $2 billion (or 4 percent).

          Corporate income  taxes rose by $19 billion (or 11 percent), probably reflecting higher
          taxable profits for 2014.



Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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