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Report on the Troubled Asset Relief Program - March 2015 1 (March 2015)

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            Report on the

Troubled Asset Relief Program-

            March 2015


In October 2008, the Emergency Economic Stabilization
Act of 2008 (Division A of Public Law 110-343) estab-
lished the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) to
enable the Department of the Treasury to promote stabil-
ity in financial markets through the purchase and guaran-
tee of troubled assets.' Section 202 of that legislation, as
amended, requires the Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) to submit annual reports on the costs of the
Treasurys purchases and guarantees of troubled assets.
The law also requires the Congressional Budget Office to
prepare its own assessment of the TARPs costs within
45 days of OMB's report. That assessment must discuss
three elements:

E The costs of purchases and guarantees of troubled
  assets,

1. The law defines troubled assets as (A) residential or commercial
  mortgages and any securities, obligations, or other instruments
  that are based on or related to such mortgages, that in each case
  was originated or issued on or before March 14, 2008, the pur-
  chase of which the Secretary determines promotes financial mar-
  ket stability; and (B) any other financial instrument that the
  Secretary, after consultation with the Chairman of the Board of
  Governors of the Federal Reserve System, determines the purchase
  of which is necessary to promote financial market stability, but
  only upon transmittal of such determination, in writing, to the
  appropriate committees of Congress. Sec. 3 of Public Law 110-
  343, 122 Stat. 3767.
2. Originally, the law required OMB and CBO to submit semi-
  annual reports. That provision was changed by Public Law 112-
  204 to an annual reporting requirement. OMBs most recent
  report on the TARP was submitted on February 2, 2015, as part
  of the Budget of the UnitedStates Government, Fiscal Year 2016:
  Analytical Perspectives (pp. 329-339), www.whitehouse.govomb/
  budget/AnalyticalPerspectives.


 The information and valuation methods used to
  calculate those costs, and

 The impact on the federal budget deficit and debt.

To fulfill its statutory requirement, CBO has prepared
this report on the TARP's transactions that were com-
pleted, outstanding, or anticipated as of January 31,
2015. By CBO's estimate, $440 billion of the initially
authorized $700 billion will be disbursed through the
TARP, including $427 billion that has already been dis-
bursed and $13 billion in additional projected disburse-
ments. CBO's current estimate of the cost to the federal
government of the TARP's transactions (also referred to
as the subsidy cost)-which accounts for the realized
costs of completed transactions and the estimated costs of
outstanding and anticipated transactions-amounts to
$28 billion (see Table 1).

The estimated cost of the TARP stems largely from assis-
tance to American International Group (AIG), aid to the
automotive industry, and ongoing grant programs aimed
at avoiding home mortgage foreclosures. Other trans-
actions with financial institutions have, taken together,
yielded a net gain to the federal government, in CBO's
estimation.

CBO's current assessment of the cost of the TARP's trans-
actions is $1 billion higher than the $27 billion estimate
shown in the agencys previous report on the TARP
(issued in April 2014). That increase in the estimated
cost stems from an increase in projected disbursements

3. See Congressional Budget Office, Report on the TroubledAsset
  ReliefProgram-Apri12014 (April 17, 2014), www.cbo.gov/
  publication/45260.


Note: Numbers in the text and tables may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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