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Medicaid - Baseline Projections [i] (March 9, 2015)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo2082 and id is 1 raw text is: 





Detail of Spending and Enrollment for Medicaid-CBO's March 2015 Baseline
(By fiscal year)


Benefits
    Acute care
      Fee-for-service
      Managed care
      Medicare premiums
    Long-term care
         Subtotal

Disproportionate Share Hospital
Vaccines for Children
Administration


2014      2015      2016     2017      2018      2019      2020      2021      2022      2023     2024      2025

                               Federal Medicaid Payments (Billions of dollars)a



  86       105       114       120       126      131       138       144       151       158       165      172
  102      123       133       143       152      160       169       180       191       203      216       228
  8          8         9         9        10        10       11        12        13        14        15        16
  74        77        80        83        85       89        92        96       100       104       108      113
  270      312       335       354      373       390       410       431       454       478      503       529


7          7
5          5
19        21


8          8         8         8
5          6         6         7
22        23        24       26


301       343       367      386       404       423       445       468       493      519       547       576


Benefits
    Acute care
      Fee-for-service
      Managed care
      Medicare premiums
    Long-term care


Subtotal


Disproportionate Share Hospital
Vaccines for Children
Administration


Percentage Change in Federal Medicaid Payments


22%        9%        5%        5%       4%        5%        5%        5%        5%        4%       4%
20%        8%        7%        6%       6%        5%        6%        6%        6%        6%       6%
1%        12%        7%        3%       6%        7%        7%        8%        8%        8%       8%
3%         3%        4%        3%       4%        4%        4%        4%        4%        4%       5%

15%        7%        6%        5%       5%        5%        5%        5%        5%        5%       5%

1%         3%       -9%      -25%       4%        4%        3%        2%        4%        7%      14%
1%         3%        9%        8%       9%        7%        7%        7%        7%        7%       4%
5%         2%        5%        5%       6%        6%        6%        6%        6%        6%       6%

14%        7%        5%        5%       5%        5%        5%        5%        5%        5%        5%


Federal Benefit Payments by Eligibility Category (Outlays in billions of dollars)


Aged
Blind and disabled
Children
Adults


46         50        52        55        56       58        61        64        68        72        76       80
104       114       120       125       130      135       141       148       155       163       171      180
57         62        66        72       78        81        84        89        94        99       105      111
63         86        97       102       109      115       123       130       137       144       152      158

270       312       335       354      373       390       410       431       454      478       503       529


Average Monthly Enrollment by Eligibility Category (Millions of people)b


Aged
Blind and disabled
Children
Adults

        Total

Memorandum:
Total Ever Enrolled



Aged
Blind and disabled
Children
Adults


5          5
9          9
31        32
19        21


5          5         6         6        6         6
9          9         9         9        9         9
34        34        34        34       34        35
23        24        24       25        25        25


63        66        67       70        71        72        73        74        74       75


80        83        85       89        91        92        93        94        95


76        77


96        97        98


Average Federal Spending on Benefit Payments per Enrollee'


$9,480  $10,080  $10,390  $10,620  $10,630  $10,800  $10,960  $11,170  $11,410  $11,640  $11,870  $12,120
$12,120   $13,230   $13,840  $14,310   $14,780   $15,170   $15,640   $16,190   $16,780  $17,360   $17,970   $18,610
$1,860  $2,010   $2,140  $2,220  $2,350  $2,440   $2,520  $2,640  $2,770   $2,900  $3,040  $3,180
$3,460  $4,120   $4,440  $4,530  $4,740  $4,910   $5,100  $5,340  $5,610   $5,900  $6,190  $6,460


a. On average in FY 2013 and prior years, federal Medicaid payments represent approximately 57 percent of total Medicaid payments. The Affordable Care Act, which
expanded Medicaid coverage starting in 2014, provides enhanced federal matching rates for certain populations, leading to an average federal share for Medicaid
ranging between 62 percent and 64 percent, depending on the year.
b. These figures represent the number of beneficiaries, with full and partial benefits, who are enrolled on an average monthly basis. The total number of individuals
enrolled in Medicaid at any point during the fiscal year are shown in the memorandum line. CBO previously reported the number of people projected to enroll in
Medicaid at any time during the year by eligibility category, but will report the number of average monthly enrollees by category going forward.
c. These figures are based on the annual cost of enrollees who receive any Medicaid benefit including those who receive only partial Medicaid benefits, such as family
planning services or assistance with Medicare cost sharing and premiums. For prior years, CBO reported the average per enrollee spending only for those that
receive full Medicaid benefits.

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