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Monthly Budget Review for June 2014 1 (July 8, 2014)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo1691 and id is 1 raw text is: JULY 8, 2014

Monthly Budget Review for June 2014
The federal government ran a budget deficit of $366 billion for the first nine months of fiscal year 2014,
CBO estimates-$144 billion less than the shortfall recorded over the same span last year. Through the end
of June, revenues were about 8 percent higher and outlays were about 1 percent higher than they were at
the same point last year.
Budget Totals, October-June
(Billions of dollars)
Actual, FY 2013      Preliminary, FY 2014   Estimated Change
Receipts          2,087                  2,259                   172
Outlays           2,597                  2,625                    28
Deficit (-)        -510                   -366                   144
Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
Statement for May 2014 and the Daily Treasury Statements for June 2014.
Note: FY = fiscal year.
Total Receipts: Up by 8 Percent in the First Nine Months of Fiscal Year 2014
Receipts for the first nine months of fiscal year 2014 totaled $2,259 billion, CBO estimates-$172 billion
more than receipts in the same period last year. The largest increases were the following:
m Individual income taxes and social insurance (payroll) taxes together rose by
$123 billion, or 7 percent.
o   Increases in amounts withheld from workers' paychecks-$97 billion (or 7 percent)-
accounted for most of that gain. Growth in wages and salaries and changes in law
were mostly responsible for the difference. In particular, the tax rates in effect from
October 2013 through December 2013 (the first quarter of fiscal year 2014) were
higher than those in effect from October 2012 through December 2012 as a result of
two changes that took effect in January 2013: the expiration of the 2 percentage-point
payroll tax cut and an increase in tax rates for income above certain thresholds.
o   Nonwithheld receipts rose by $28 billion (or 7 percent), because of payments made
for the 2013 and 2014 tax years. Income tax refunds rose by $1 billion (or 1 percent),
slightly offsetting those increases.
m Receipts from corporate income taxes rose by $29 billion (or 14 percent), probably
because of growth in taxable profits in calendar years 2013 and 2014. Receipts from
April through June-largely representing corporations' first two quarterly estimated tax
payments for the 2014 tax year-increased by about $12 billion (or 11 percent).
*   Receipts from the Federal Reserve rose by $18 billion, or 32 percent. The increase was
attributable in part to the larger size of the central bank' s portfolio of securities and to a
higher yield on that portfolio. Almost all gains occurred from January through June.

Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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