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Monthly Budget Review for March 2014 1 (March 2014)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo1528 and id is 1 raw text is: ........     APRIL 7,2014
Monthly Budget Review for March 2014
The federal government ran a budget deficit of $413 billion for the first six months of fiscal year 2014,
CBO estimates-$187 billion less than the shortfall recorded in the same span last year. Revenues were
about 10 percent higher; and outlays, about 4 percent lower.
Budget Totals, October-March
(Billions of dollars)
Actual, FY 2013       Preliminary, FY 2014   Estimated Change
Receipts           1,197                   1,320                   123
Outlays            1,797                   1,733                   -64
Deficit (-)        -600                    -413                    187
Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
Statement for February 2014 and the Daily Treasury Statements for March 2014.
Note: FY = fiscal year.
Total Receipts: Up by 10 Percent in the First Half of Fiscal Year 2014
Receipts for the first six months of fiscal year 2014 totaled $1,320 billion, CBO estimates $123 billion
more than receipts in the same period last year. The largest increases were the following:
m   Individual income taxes and social insurance (payroll) taxes together rose by
$92 billion, or 9 percent.
o   Increases in amounts withheld from workers' paychecks-amounting to
$73 billion (or 7 percent)-accounted for most of that gain. Besides growth in
wages and salaries, changes in law contributed to the increases: In 2013, the tax
rates in effect for October through December were higher than those in effect
during those months in 2012 because of two changes that occurred in January
2013-namely, the expiration of the 2 percentage-point payroll tax cut and
increases in tax rates for income above certain thresholds.
o Nonwithheld receipts, mainly from payments of 2013 taxes, increased by
$17 billion (or 15 percent).
Refunds declined by $1 billion (or 1 percent), further boosting net receipts.
o All told, receipts from social insurance taxes rose by 14 percent, whereas receipts
from individual income taxes were up by about 6 percent. About half the
difference between those percentage increases resulted from quarterly adjustments
made by the Treasury to the past allocations of revenues between the two sources.
* Receipts from corporate income taxes rose by $17 billion (or 16 percent). That increase
probably reflects growth in taxable profits in calendar year 2013.
* Receipts from the Federal Reserve rose by $12 billion (or 32 percent). The increase
resulted in part from the larger size of the central bank's portfolio of securities and a higher

Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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