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Response to Request for Long-Term Analysis of Proposed Policies 1 (March 11, 2013)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo11005 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                        Douglas W. Elmendorf, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
March 11, 2013
Honorable Paul Ryan
Chairman
Committee on the Budget
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington DC 20515
Dear Mr. Chairman:
This letter responds to your request that the Congressional Budget Office analyze
the long-term budgetary impact of certain proposed policies governing federal
revenues and spending.
Unfortunately, we cannot conduct such an analysis at this time because we have
not produced new long-term budgetary projections under current law since
significant changes in law were enacted in early January. Last year at this time,
we were able to prepare a preliminary update of our previous long-term
projections that incorporated changes in law (and in the agency's economic
forecast and technical estimating procedures) that had taken place after we
produced those projections. Such an update was possible because those later
changes were fairly small; but that approach is not feasible this year because the
recent changes in law (in particular, in the provisions of the individual income
tax) were quite large.
We plan to produce updated long-term budgetary projections under current law
later this year in a new Long-Term Budget Outlook.
Sincerely,
Douglas W. Elmendorf
cc:   Honorable Chris Van Hollen
Ranking Member

www.cbo.gov

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