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Budgetary Treatment of Proposals to Regulate Medical Loss Ratios [i] (2009)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo1095 and id is 1 raw text is: Budgetary Treatment of Proposals to Regulate Medical Loss Ratios

CBO has been asked to review a proposal that would require health insurers to provide rebates to
enrollees to the extent that their medical loss ratios are less than 90 percent. (A medical loss ratio, or
MLR, is the proportion of premium dollars that an insurer spends on health care; it is commonly
calculated as the amount of claims incurred plus changes in reserves as a fraction of premiums earned.)
In particular, CBO has been asked to assess whether adding such a requirement to the provisions of the
Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) put forward by Senator Reid (as an amendment to
H.R. 3590) would change its judgment as to how various types of health insurance transactions that
would occur under that legislation should be reflected in the federal budget.
In May, CBO released an issue brief entitled The Budgetary Treatment of Proposals to Change the
Nation's Health Insurance SVstem. That publication identified the primary elements of proposals that
CBO thought were relevant to whether purchases of private health insurance should be treated as part
of the federal budget. CBO concluded (on page 4) that at its root, the key consideration is whether the
proposal would be making health insurance an essentially governmental program, tightly controlled by
the federal government with little choice available to those who offer and buy health insurance-or
whether the system would provide significant flexibility in terms of the types, prices, and number of
private-sector sellers of insurance available to people. (Note: CBO estimates the budgetary impact of
legislation as it is being considered by the Congress; if legislation is enacted into law, the
Administration's Office of Management and Budget ultimately determines how its effects will be
reflected in the federal budget.)
The PPACA would make numerous changes to the market for health insurance, including requiring all
individuals to purchase health insurance, subsidizing coverage for some individuals, and establishing
standards for benefit packages. Taken together, those changes would significantly increase the federal
government's role in that market. Nevertheless, CBO concluded that there would remain sufficient
flexibility for providers of insurance and sufficient choice for purchasers of insurance that the insurance
market as a whole should be considered part of the private sector. Therefore, except for certain
transactions that explicitly involve the government, CBO would treat the cash flows associated with the
health insurance system (for example, premium and benefit payments) as nongovernmental.
Certain policies governing MLRs, particularly those requiring health plans whose MLR falls below a
minimum level to rebate the difference to enrollees, can be a powerful regulatory tool. Insurers
operating at MLRs below such a minimum would have a limited number of possible responses. They
could change the way they provide health insurance, perhaps by reducing their profits or cutting back on
efforts to restrain benefit costs through care management. They could choose to pay the rebates, but if
they raised premiums to cover the added costs they would simply have to rebate that increment to
premiums later. Alternatively, they could exit the market entirely. Such responses would reduce the
types, range of prices, and number of private-sector sellers of health insurance-the very flexibilities
described in CBO's issue brief.

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