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Unemployment Compensation and Trade Adjustment Assistance for Workers: CBO's Baseline and Estimates of the President's 2013 Budget 1 (March 2012)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo10685 and id is 1 raw text is: Unemployment Compensation and Trade Adjustment Assistance for Workers
CBO March 2012 Baseline and the President's FY 2013 Budget

(By fiscal year, in millions of dollars)
2012     2013    2014    2015     2016    2017     2018     2019     2020    2021     2022

CBO's March 2012 Baseline

Unemployment Compensation
Regular Benefits                48,230  52,975  55,500  50,660  46,995  45,245  46,925  49,170  52,315  55,490  56,685
Emergency Benefits              45,335  9,985       0      0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0
Extended Benefits                5,410    690   1,300    390     190     210      45      45      45      45      45
Total Benefits  98,975  63,650  56,800  51,050  47,185  45,455  46,970  49,215  52,360  55,535  56,730

Trade Adjustment Assistance
for Workersa

826     1,051    1,193    1,099

980      964     979      993    1,008    1,023   1,038

Memo: Detail for Regular Unemployment Compensation
First Payments (millions of people)  9.8  10.7    11.2    10.9    9.7     9.0     9.1     9.1      9.3     9.6     9.4
Average Weekly Benefit            $286    $292    $300   $311    $322    $334    $345    $358    $372    $385    $399
Average Duration (weeks)          17.2    17.0    16.5    15.0    15.0    15.0   15.0     15.0    15.1    15.1    15.1
Labor Force (millions of people)  154.8  156.2   157.1   158.8   160.5  162.0   163.3   164.4    165.6   166.6   167.7
Unemployment Rate                 8.8%   9.0%    9.0%    7.8%    6.5%    5.8%    5.5%    5.5%    5.4%    5.4%    5.3%
CBO's Reestimate of the President's FY 2013 Budgetb
Direct Spending
Eliminate TAAa                       0       0    -244    -640   -876    -954    -979    -993   -1,008  -1,023  -1,038
Dislocated Worker Programa           0       0    710    2,654   4,604  5,444   5,522   5,530    5,685   5,936   6,184
Forgive 2 Years of State Interest  1,303   977      0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0
Revenues
Make UI FUTA Surtax Permanent        0   1,002   1,408   1,445   1,485  1,518   1,541    1,560   1,577   1,593   1,610
Expand FUTA Base                     0  -3,439  -5,065   4,676  12,843  11,718  3,210   -1,557   2,741   2,490   2,940
Notes: TAA = Trade Adjustment Assistance; UI = unemployment insurance; FUTA = Federal Unemployment Tax Act.
a. Includes training and cash benefits.
b. For outlays, a positive number denotes an increase in outlays. For revenues, a positive number denotes an increase in revenues.

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