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Health Insurance Coverage 1 (September 22, 2009)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo1063 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                              Douglas W. Elmendorf, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
September 22, 2009
Honorable Chuck Grassley
Ranking Member
Committee on Finance
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Senator:
This letter responds to your request for additional information about health
insurance coverage among nonelderly unauthorized immigrants under
current law, the Chairman's mark for proposed health care legislation
released by the Committee on Finance on September 16 (the America's
Healthy Future Act of 2009), and H.R. 3200 (the America's Affordable
Health Choices Act of 2009).
Estimates of the unauthorized immigrant population residing in the United
States are derived from survey data that identify foreign-born individuals
but do not specify their legal status. As a result, the Congressional Budget
Office (CBO) and the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) must
use statistical methods to impute legal status when modeling the effects of
proposals affecting health insurance coverage. Although the best available
information is used in that process, the data have substantial limitations,
and the estimates described in this letter are subject to a significant amount
of uncertainty.
Under current law, CBO projects that the nonelderly unauthorized
immigrant population will total about 14 million in 2019. Of those
individuals, nearly 60 percent (about 8 million) will be uninsured. A further
25 percent (about 4 million) will have employment-based coverage, and
about 7 percent (1 million) will have some alternative form of insurance
(other than Medicaid). The remaining 10 percent (about 1 million) will
make use of some Medicaid coverage, reflecting the current law that allows
unauthorized immigrants-who are not eligible for full Medicaid
benefits-to receive limited Medicaid coverage for emergency care if they
would be eligible for the program apart from their unauthorized status. The
number using Medicaid may also include some unauthorized immigrants

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