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Estimated Impact of Automatic Budget Enforcement Procedures Specified in the Budget Control Act 1 (September 12, 2011)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo10586 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE

Estimated Impact of Automatic
Budget Enforcement Procedures
Specified in the Budget Control Act
September 12, 2011
The Budget Control Act of 2011 (enacted on August 2 as Public Law 112-25) made
several changes to federal programs and established budget enforcement mecha-
nisms-including caps on future discretionary appropriations-that were estimated
to reduce federal budget deficits by a total of at least $2.1 trillion over the 2012-2021
period.' The caps on discretionary appropriations will decrease spending (including
debt-service costs) by an estimated $0.9 trillion during that period, compared with
what such spending would have been if annual appropriations had grown at the rate
of inflation. At least another $1.2 trillion in deficit reduction was anticipated from
provisions related to a newly established Congressional Joint Select Committee on
Deficit Reduction. That committee is charged with proposing legislation to trim bud-
get deficits by at least $1.5 trillion between 2012 and 2021. However, if legislation
originating from the committee and estimated to produce at least $1.2 trillion in
deficit reduction (including an allowance for interest savings) is not enacted by Janu-
ary 15, 2012, automatic procedures for cutting both discretionary and mandatory
spending will take effect.2 The magnitude of those cuts would depend on any shortfall
in the estimated effects of such legislation relative to the $1.2 trillion amount.
The automatic reductions-if triggered-would take the form of equal cuts (in dollar
terms) in defense and nondefense spending starting in fiscal year 2013. Those cuts
would be achieved by lowering the caps on discretionary budget authority specified in
the Budget Control Act and by automatically cancelling budgetary resources (a pro-
cess known as sequestration) for some programs and activities financed by mandatory
spending.3 The law exempts a significant portion of mandatory spending from
1. For an analysis of the new law, see Congressional Budget Office, letter to the Honorable John A.
Boehner and the Honorable Harry Reid estimating the impact on the deficit of the Budget
Control Act of 2011 (August 1, 2011).
2. Discretionary spending refers to outlays from budget authority that is provided and controlled
by appropriation acts. Mandatory spending refers to outlays from budget authority that is pro-
vided by laws other than appropriation acts. (Budget authority is the authority provided by law to
incur financial obligations that will result in immediate or future outlays of federal government
funds; it may be provided in an appropriation act or an authorization act.)
3. Budgetary resources consist of all sources of authority provided to federal agencies that permit
them to incur financial obligations, including new budget authority, unobligated balances, direct
spending authority, and obligation limitations.

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