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Letter from Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Director Congressional Budget Office to Max Baucus regarding H.R. 3304, the Growing Real Ownership for Workers Act of 2005 1 (September 2005)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo10189 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                        Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
September 13, 2005
Honorable Max Baucus
Ranking Member
Committee on Finance
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Senator:
As requested in your letter of August 11, 2005, the Congressional Budget Office has analyzed
H.R. 3304, the Growing Real Ownership for Workers Act of 2005, as introduced on July 14,
2005. The legislation would have three main effects:
*     It would create individual accounts (called GROW accounts) and reduce traditional
Social Security benefits for account holders; the net impact on total retirement benefits
would depend on whether an account earned more or less than the Treasury rate of return.
*     H.R. 3304 also would defer the exhaustion of the Social Security trust funds, permitting
some cohorts to receive greater benefits and raising federal outlays in the future.
*     Finally, from 2007 through 2020, the contribution of general funds to individual accounts
would raise federal outlays and the unified deficit. In 2007 and all later years, federal debt
in the hands of the public would be higher than under current law.
Under the bill, general funds equivalent to the cash surplus in the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance (OASDI) program would be distributed each year into an interim fund, and
the following year they would be distributed into individual GROW accounts for workers
covered by Social Security. CBO projects that from 2007 through 2021, the transfer of funds to
GROW accounts would increase federal outlays by more than $1 trillion.
Account holders could draw from the accounts during retirement, but Social Security retirement
benefits for those individuals would be reduced, or offset, by an amount based on the size of
the deposits made to the accounts. In general, the withdrawals from the accounts would replace
only a portion of Social Security benefits. Before trust fund exhaustion, if returns on the GROW
accounts were higher than the returns on Treasury bonds, total retirement benefits would be
higher than those currently scheduled, and if returns were lower, total benefits would be lower.

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