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How Pension Financing Affects Returns to Different Generations 1 (September 2004)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo10173 and id is 1 raw text is: A series ofissue summaries from
the Congressional Budget Office
No. 12, SEPTEMBER 22, 2004

How Pension Financing Affects Returns
to Different Generations

A pension system designed to be self-sustaining can be
financed in two basic ways: on a funded or on a pay-
as-you-go basis. In a funded system, contributions are
used to purchase assets, which are saved to pay for future
benefits. (In the United States, private pension plans are
required by law to be funded.) By contrast, in a pay-as-
you-go system, such as Social Security,1 contributions by
workers go directly to pay benefits to retirees. A pay-as-
you-go pension system can provide higher returns than a
funded system to particular generations who retire rela-
tively soon after the system is implemented or benefits are
increased, but a funded system provides higher returns in
the long run. However, moving a pension system from a
pay-as-you-go to a funded basis would impose a burden
on some generations.
In either type of pension system, over time the total
amount of contributions must equal the total amount of
benefits in present value.2 If, on average, some genera-
tions receive more than they contributed, then some
other generations must get less in benefits than they paid
into the system. This brief examines how funded and
pay-as-you-go systems have different effects on the rela-
tive financial returns that different generations receive.
The analysis in this brief focuses on broad, general attri-
butes of pension systems. It examines the average benefits
received and taxes paid by different generations, rather
than the benefits and taxes of particular members of those
1. In a pure pay-as-you-go system, revenues exactly equal outlays in
each year. Social Security is not a pure pay-as-you-go system; its
revenues (excluding interest on the balances in the two Social
Security trust funds) currently exceed outlays by about 14 percent.
That excess of revenues over outlays is temporary; beyond 2018,
revenues are projected to fall short of outlays by increasing
amounts. See Congressional Budget Office, The Outlook for Social
Security (June 2004).
2. Present value adjusts for the fact that money is more valuable the
earlier it is received because it can be invested and earn interest.

generations. The brief does not address issues of imple-
mentation.3
Returns in Funded
and Pay-As-You-Go Systems
In a funded system, contributions are used to purchase
assets that finance benefits upon retirement. The average
rate of return that participants receive on their contribu-
tions in a funded system is the average rate of return on
those assets. That is equivalent to the rate people could
earn if they saved the money themselves rather than con-
tributing it to the system. Therefore, in general, a funded
system does not affect the average financial resources
available to any generation.4
By contrast, in a pay-as-you-go system, the average rate of
return-and therefore the effect of the system on genera-
tions' financial resources-can differ widely for different
generations depending on whether they face stable or
changing tax and benefit rates.5 First, consider the people
who participate in a system with constant tax and benefit
rates over their whole lives. For them, the sustainable av-
erage implicit return is limited to the growth rate of the
3. See, for example, Congressional Budget Office, Acquiring Finan-
cial Assets to Fund Future Entitlements, Long-Range Fiscal Policy
Brief No. 8 (June 16, 2003).
4. Differences in the tax treatment of individual savings versus pen-
sion contributions can create an apparent financial advantage for
participants in a funded system. However, some generation must
finance the tax advantage; to the extent it is financed by the same
generation that receives it, there is no net gain. Differences in the
cost of managing group as opposed to individual savings could
lead to modest differences in returns.
5. In a pay-as-you-go system, the rate of return is not explicit. An
implicit rate of return on contributions can be calculated for
each generation on average. That implicit rate is the rate of return
a generation's contributions would need to earn to exactly finance
its pension benefits.

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